Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ca8b1f72188c2326e138364fa38a9f6ac6ba36c673e66b3356514f7ebf0f3eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Yes | 28c | 88,151$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,151.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 76,729$54,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,543.49 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 9,148$6,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,462.06 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 8,332$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.03 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 6,116$4,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.49 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 23c | 2,400$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 1,817$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.92 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…6241backed Yes | 29c | 1,770$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 32c | 1,152$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.05 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 1c | 1,102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 76c | 921$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.96 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 20c | 870$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 22c | 800.05$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 22c | 773$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 22c | 691.7$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 626$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.99 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 77c | 584.42$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 76c | 520.23$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.59 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 47c | 508.51$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 20c | 501.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.12 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 23c | 450$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 79c | 408.1$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 80c | 375.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 78c | 373.35$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.61 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 44c | 239.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…0bd9backed Yes | 68c | 232.27$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 79c | 215$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…cbeebacked Yes | 65c | 163.85$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 22c | 116$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…ada0backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 60c | 104.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…cf4fbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…e37abacked Yes | 55c | 97.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…932abacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 60c | 90.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 78c | 75.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 76c | 74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked No | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 79c | 63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed No | 79c | 59.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 58.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed No | 78c | 52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…86c8backed Yes | 79c | 37.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Yes | 57c | 20.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 77c | 18.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…d620backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 77c | 15.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…a670backed No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 14.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 75c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2025-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.