Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x571d0177bb4ff61efa7524802b9948bb199bccaad9b5c38f4c555a60d19df6f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked No | 53c | 75,197$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,197.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 61,960$28,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,638.34 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 8,064$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,346.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 7,353$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.49 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 16c | 3,159$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.31 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 54c | 1,866$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Yes | 16c | 1,056$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 53c | 1,018$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 641.58$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.31 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 10c | 628$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 54c | 622.37$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 37c | 600$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.67 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Yes | 19c | 532.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 531.91$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.62 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 53c | 471.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 45c | 464.23$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.82 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 455.86$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.46 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 436$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 56c | 414.46$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 16c | 406.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 47c | 393$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.71 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 53c | 282.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 60c | 230$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…5f4dbacked Yes | 18c | 228.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 30c | 215$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…3211backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 53c | 177$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 53c | 171.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 55c | 171.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 48c | 116$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 52c | 98.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 52c | 96.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…202abacked Yes | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 15c | 75.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 51c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 17c | 61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 59.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8851…396cbacked Yes | 51c | 57.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 56c | 51.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 42c | 50.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d53…1c66backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 47c | 45.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 55c | 39.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12dd…1aacbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…f2dbbacked No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…b4acbacked Yes | 53c | 36.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448e…9e08backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…3f8abacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked No | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…ef6abacked No | 48c | 23.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 55c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will New York City FC win on 2025-11-23?Yes won
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.