TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Luciano Darderi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kecmanovicof Kecmanovic, Darderi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Kecmanovic42c13,836$5,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,963.948,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Darderi64c10,983$6,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,983.0165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Kecmanovic58c7,751$4,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,258.337152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kecmanovic38c5,188$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,220.032,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Darderi42c4,925$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.2416644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Darderi8c4,648$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.2611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed Darderi67c3,982$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.672864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Darderi60c3,953$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.846,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…48d7backed Darderi57c3,900$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Darderi64c3,642$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.2564855.2%358 W · 290 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904d…779bbacked Darderi36c3,600$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Kecmanovic73c3,412$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.88560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Darderi32c3,344$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.0513653.7%73 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kecmanovic50c3,244$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.342,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe0…3eddbacked Darderi36c3,221$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Darderi63c3,062$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.8424544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Darderi20c2,705$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.061662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b8…5c4bbacked Darderi35c2,468$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd5…9a25backed Darderi36c2,120$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+71.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Darderi68c2,000$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36624558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked Darderi5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Darderi35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.989944.4%44 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb148…9355backed Kecmanovic66c1,905$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.831553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f56…215fbacked Darderi51c1,900$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b85…e867backed Darderi35c1,580$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Darderi9c1,553$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1217933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb1…e083backed Kecmanovic64c1,481$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Kecmanovic44c1,422$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.465242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kecmanovic63c1,407$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.861,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Darderi38c1,366$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.1728139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98bf…68bdbacked Kecmanovic65c1,350$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbee2…8ff2backed Darderi35c1,350$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa25…e09fbacked Kecmanovic64c1,300$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Darderi70c1,299$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.885259.6%31 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Kecmanovic66c1,250$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42559151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kecmanovic62c1,207$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.111,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Kecmanovic64c1,102$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.721070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Darderi69c1,078$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.4111943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Darderi42c1,016$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.728530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c2…26aabacked Darderi39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Darderi37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3707037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Darderi32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207226.4%19 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09fd…5859backed Kecmanovic64c950$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0251…d357backed Kecmanovic65c900$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1a…1b70backed Darderi55c900$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b2…9309backed Kecmanovic64c900$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x400f…dd2fbacked Kecmanovic65c900$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e1…f235backed Kecmanovic64c840$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+52.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3d…a84cbacked Kecmanovic64c830$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Darderi36c826.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Darderi27c815$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.11,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fca…6129backed Darderi27c800$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f7…d106backed Darderi37c799.99$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29212227%33 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Kecmanovic53c797.67$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.9775547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ed…e937backed Kecmanovic64c790$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick43cpaid+150.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d83…3ceabacked Kecmanovic65c788$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa13b…1a4dbacked Darderi40c784.55$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.682634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa45a…7c80backed Kecmanovic65c780$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Darderi41c737.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Darderi35c731.05$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.3110261.8%63 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Kecmanovic66c682.41$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0230739.1%120 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e11…510bbacked Kecmanovic60c662.84$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.881376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Darderi38c658.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x154d…7332backed Kecmanovic65c650$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Kecmanovic40c641.38$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.43557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Darderi52c634.12$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.741,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57dd…6ab4backed Darderi33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Darderi72c557.3$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Darderi37c537.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Darderi35c536.41$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4222840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3adf…d8b0backed Darderi38c531.58$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed Kecmanovic79c505.68$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.681947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7449…2093backed Kecmanovic65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc9…f213backed Kecmanovic64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Kecmanovic63c477.53$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2918241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Kecmanovic41c463.41$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.4128443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Kecmanovic36c458.48$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.433855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f27…8ec7backed Kecmanovic54c456.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.053066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Darderi67c448.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004461.4%27 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Kecmanovic51c442.86$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8688446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e0…7cb2backed Kecmanovic65c430$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Darderi36c428.76$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.562,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae58…3f01backed Darderi34c426.41$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.784835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Kecmanovic37c405.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4396035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Darderi34c388.42$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0663247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Kecmanovic46c364.32$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3317442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Darderi5c348$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.832,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Kecmanovic39c343.9$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.94955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Darderi17c319.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.198248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked Darderi6c319.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.742429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Darderi36c305.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e92…cd3dbacked Darderi66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3764…e02abacked Darderi15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Kecmanovic36c297.22$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2210843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Darderi35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x522c…1535backed Darderi70c283.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-2.9wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Darderi33c257.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0844125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Kecmanovic38c250$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15513641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb175…b65cbacked Darderi57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b7…d976backed Kecmanovic77c245.34$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick70cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.