NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c54ec30e466990f74ea921833081ea416082205ed8986ce5b2d62a5f9ac6a9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 50c | 83,892$41,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,945.93 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 50c | 23,798$11,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,899 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 20,359$10,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,179.34 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 7,441$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 5,882$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.58 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 5,371$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 50c | 5,231$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.5 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 50c | 4,618$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Over | 50c | 2,885$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.5 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Over | 50c | 2,880$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Over | 50c | 2,410$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 50c | 2,094$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.87 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 51c | 2,020$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 1,476$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 920$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Over | 54c | 920$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.2 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Under | 17c | 535.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 455.08$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 29c | 378.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…cb68backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 5c | 219.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…dfeabacked Over | 51c | 202.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 75c | 199.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 51c | 194.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed Over | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 45c | 131.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Over | 50c | 98.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked Over | 51c | 97.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…cbe6backed Over | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Under | 51c | 61.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 26c | 58.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…cb31backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Over | 49c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…7ef4backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…7503backed Over | 52c | 38.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Under | 36c | 36.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 50c | 35.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…70febacked Over | 51c | 31.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 31.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 50c | 26.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…e8e9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…c0d8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…1df6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. KingsKings won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Kings won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.