TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $569 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rockets45c270.18$122 inWon+$148.61,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Kings55c227.27$125 inLost-$12523248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22eb…7d8dbacked Kings50c140$70 inLost-$703033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rockets50c100$50 inWon+$501,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf331…c75abacked Kings55c72.91$40 inLost-$401241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Kings54c58.73$32 inLost-$324050%20 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Rockets49c40.51$20 inWon+$20.5123051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Rockets50c40$20 inWon+$2045542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Rockets50c30$15 inWon+$153268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Rockets45c28.73$13 inWon+$15.818453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.