NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c90cfa1a7e674bae2baa1400ba9dc633f378b42056cb0e30c1078e1eab877f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Golden Knights, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7178…0c07backed Golden Knights | 40c | 24,892$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Devils | 60c | 18,419$11,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,415.1 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Golden Knights | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Devils | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Devils | 62c | 2,700$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils | 60c | 2,653$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.2 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Golden Knights | 37c | 2,097$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.23 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Devils | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Devils | 62c | 1,924$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.91 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Golden Knights | 39c | 1,486$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.34 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Golden Knights | 38c | 1,018$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.81 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Devils | 60c | 719$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.6 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Golden Knights | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Devils | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Devils | 65c | 302.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Devils | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Devils | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Golden Knights | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Devils | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Devils | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Devils | 62c | 169.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Golden Knights | 38c | 160.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Golden Knights | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Devils | 61c | 147.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Devils | 62c | 76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Golden Knights | 36c | 59.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Devils | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Golden Knights | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Golden Knights | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Golden Knights | 36c | 40.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Golden Knights | 38c | 40.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Golden Knights | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Golden Knights | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Devils | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Golden Knights | 38c | 31.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Devils | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Devils | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Devils | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Devils | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Devils | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Devils | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Golden Knights | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Devils | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Devils | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Golden Knights | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Devils | 61c | 24.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Devils | 60c | 19.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Devils | 62c | 16.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Devils vs. Golden KnightsDevils won
- Devils vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.