TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Over46c67,600$31,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,082.388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Under54c60,000$32,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,599.994665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ff…e56abacked Over47c10,666$4,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,970.455749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under54c9,100$4,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,186.9993953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,76051045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Over47c4,796$2,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.9564242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under55c4,051$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.31,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c4,041$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.472,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under54c2,778$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.7860337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde1…dfc0backed Under59c2,189$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Under54c2,019$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.5226946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over48c2,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under53c1,880$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.0828652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561b…05c3backed Under53c1,646$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.625100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over48c1,563$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over46c1,544$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.191,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67536038.6%139 W · 221 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under54c1,450$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c1,283$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.841,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Over48c958.96$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under50c921$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.522150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ff…9f1cbacked Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under49c438.24$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.53951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c358.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.092,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over43c319.58$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13820345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Under53c301.89$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.896363.5%40 W · 23 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14475946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over45c299.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13537649.7%187 W · 189 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12534653.2%184 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.476450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Over51c220.12$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.088458.3%49 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under53c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.551,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10020446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf527…366bbacked Under56c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.258647.7%41 W · 45 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c199.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf15b…4b51backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe46c…99b5backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under53c195.5$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.671,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over45c184.52$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0391945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over45c170.91$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over47c151.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.523249.1%114 W · 118 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2579251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Over14c149.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.57544%33 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under52c147.36$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4922248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x429a…d58cbacked Over47c138.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c86…288cbacked Over30c134.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Under55c125.45$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.452755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over37c122.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9760141.9%252 W · 349 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4945447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4712250.8%62 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4433735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Under55c91.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2216753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over22c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under53c78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.661,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Over46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516447.6%78 W · 86 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Under75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.756271%44 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over48c64.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6148452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de9…c5afbacked Over28c62.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under79c61.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.862951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.238551.4%198 W · 187 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.227148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0857…5bedbacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under53c52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4426448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under50c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.569653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over47c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.359852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x042e…f947backed Under49c46.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.533351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Under55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4578443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under70c40.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1421040.5%85 W · 125 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under53c37.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7626348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7413743.1%59 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Over47c34.8$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4210951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over48c32.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.59649%47 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.119645.4%89 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.529147.4%138 W · 153 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.113046.2%60 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.117249.4%85 W · 87 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over47c29.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2520447.5%97 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Under53c29.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.148161.3%295 W · 186 L+21.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under54c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8849045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.787949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a12…ba9cbacked Over47c25.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1511638.8%45 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0e…7e25backed Over48c23.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.083537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29bd…80c9backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.