TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaier

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sonegoof Sonego, Altmaier
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$244,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,495 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Altmaier26c19,988$5,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,179.887857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Altmaier1c18,750$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Altmaier18c10,000$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.0666949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd423…9c16backed Altmaier0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked Sonego72c8,979$6,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.216100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sonego79c8,803$6,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.088,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Altmaier16c4,983$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.5324544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Altmaier34c4,466$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.9327431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Sonego74c4,238$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.548052.5%42 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04d1…8390backed Sonego61c3,236$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.04850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Sonego76c3,228$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.7865242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Altmaier41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2308530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Altmaier18c2,833$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Altmaier38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9822629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Altmaier18c2,268$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Sonego61c2,108$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.825722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Altmaier38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7606036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51a4…3071backed Altmaier38c1,934$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.92742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sonego60c1,930$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.0265647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Altmaier33c1,838$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Altmaier26c1,836$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1316644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54cd…3fd9backed Altmaier39c1,806$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Sonego61c1,790$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.914930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x42b2…f8d4backed Altmaier39c1,788$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd088…4964backed Altmaier39c1,745$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.55633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Sonego62c1,701$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.0528952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…280dbacked Sonego61c1,638$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Altmaier12c1,480$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.634955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c5a…02c1backed Sonego61c1,407$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…831bbacked Altmaier18c1,400$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x213a…697abacked Altmaier39c1,362$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sonego60c1,294$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.462742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e08…0c90backed Sonego61c1,143$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Altmaier40c1,098$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.112949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbe1…a551backed Altmaier38c1,090$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Altmaier19c1,057$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020938.3%80 W · 129 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Altmaier38c999.98$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.9963247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Altmaier29c976.92$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28610843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Sonego62c957.85$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.982055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Sonego59c910.6$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.531844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Altmaier22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Altmaier27c899.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Altmaier28c894.87$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24913435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…7d37backed Altmaier19c893$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.615040%20 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47cf…bab7backed Sonego61c834$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sonego80c824.29$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.366,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da4…cb44backed Altmaier39c822$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sonego62c801.45$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.881,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04e3…19bebacked Sonego61c790$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…c307backed Altmaier39c788$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Altmaier15c761.1$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.72924.1%7 W · 22 L-6.4wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-61.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Sonego59c759.32$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.32850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb23…6c30backed Altmaier39c756.41$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2954740.4%19 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098d…d9b0backed Sonego61c668$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf23a…dda4backed Sonego62c655$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa82c…4a83backed Sonego62c651$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Sonego62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1638348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe3…d2eabacked Sonego61c640$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Altmaier25c640$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16014546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Sonego61c639.76$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.5144360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfad2…484cbacked Sonego62c628$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.64560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7102…28b4backed Altmaier16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Altmaier38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2288143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fe8…923ebacked Sonego62c595$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Altmaier15c590.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.56628.8%19 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f3…cdc5backed Altmaier39c569$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b32…3f5fbacked Altmaier10c565$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.93710.8%4 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Altmaier24c559.96$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7717442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Altmaier40c558.31$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.151933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed5…3826backed Altmaier41c553.81$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Sonego64c550$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20022641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae4…e82abacked Sonego59c530$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f93…a1c9backed Altmaier41c530$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x237b…37f4backed Altmaier41c530$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81de…143cbacked Altmaier41c530$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656e…c312backed Sonego59c530$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc95…a1a0backed Sonego59c530$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda28…2807backed Sonego59c530$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf4…d756backed Sonego59c530$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…7263backed Sonego59c530$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ef…b802backed Sonego59c530$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27a2…4245backed Altmaier41c530$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e65…141fbacked Sonego59c530$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2697…b458backed Altmaier41c530$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e0a…31e8backed Altmaier41c530$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd5…d7d7backed Sonego59c530$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe328…c365backed Altmaier41c530$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dab…d121backed Altmaier41c530$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1b…9d2dbacked Sonego59c530$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaa…cd26backed Altmaier41c530$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Altmaier38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe30d…4bedbacked Sonego61c524$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Altmaier39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20096035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Altmaier39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Altmaier40c500.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Sonego62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Sonego62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8722744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Altmaier31c477.02$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.891,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1c…b885backed Sonego62c467$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1918…9568backed Sonego62c452.58$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.281020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-70%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.