College Football · resolved market
Spread: Utah (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x702a771e0b0e61918cf887e185a13e28edbb6f7b4c9e69df956c8b4ecbc761ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansasof Utah, Kansas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah | 50c | 106,574$53,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,288.46 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Kansas | 51c | 105,000$53,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,450.72 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas | 50c | 37,090$18,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,596.96 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Kansas | 51c | 33,471$17,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,430 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Utah | 49c | 20,311$9,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,952.39 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Utah | 49c | 11,296$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,534.92 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas | 50c | 9,847$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,923.96 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Utah | 51c | 7,404$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas | 51c | 6,931$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.28 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Kansas | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Kansas | 55c | 5,438$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.53 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Utah | 49c | 3,888$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.12 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 33c | 2,922$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.39 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Utah | 48c | 1,940$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.37 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kansas | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Utah | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Kansas | 60c | 1,244$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.55 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah | 45c | 1,200$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.7 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Utah | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas | 47c | 813.7$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.27 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas | 74c | 667$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.42 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah | 45c | 325$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Kansas | 55c | 315$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Kansas | 55c | 306$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.48 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kansas | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kansas | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…6a35backed Kansas | 51c | 196.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Utah | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Utah | 46c | 174.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…2fd5backed Utah | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Utah | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Utah | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Utah | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Utah | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kansas | 50c | 74.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Kansas | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Kansas | 50c | 54.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Kansas | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Kansas | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…dfe9backed Utah | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Utah | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Kansas | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Utah | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…a1b7backed Kansas | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Kansas | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah (-10.5)this page
- O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: Utah (-11.5)Kansas won
- Spread: Utah (-12.5)Kansas won
- Utah vs. KansasUtah won
- Utah vs. Kansas: O/U 59.5Under won
- Utah vs. Kansas: O/U 60.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.