TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blue Jackets vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Blue Jackets, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$518,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$585,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets48c218,341$105,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,457.291,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ff…e56abacked Ducks51c157,921$80,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,359.555749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks50c39,766$20,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,744.151,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab5…6b51backed Blue Jackets49c36,330$17,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,801.62728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Ducks67c34,913$23,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,521.3638748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Ducks68c19,936$13,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,379.5226344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Blue Jackets48c18,888$9,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,066.2421850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Blue Jackets50c16,170$8,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,08524349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks50c15,387$7,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,693.579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Ducks50c10,055$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,027.532251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Ducks50c9,996$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,998.245841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Ducks50c9,000$4,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,46075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Ducks53c8,500$4,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9952650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Ducks65c6,774$4,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.6332744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Blue Jackets22c5,715$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.2917057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Ducks51c4,780$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,342.224654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blue Jackets48c4,388$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.241,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Ducks52c4,155$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.3941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e8…731cbacked Ducks74c3,790$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.916835.3%24 W · 44 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Blue Jackets49c3,432$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.784665.2%30 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Ducks70c3,198$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.627163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks52c3,076$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.4852050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07fc…7ac6backed Blue Jackets49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.981353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Ducks53c2,830$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.1923047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Ducks51c2,826$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.811457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Blue Jackets20c2,797$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.8538738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Ducks77c2,685$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.611,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Ducks52c2,679$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.5255446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Ducks50c2,625$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.722846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Blue Jackets50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25023751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Ducks50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Blue Jackets50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jackets50c1,900$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Blue Jackets30c1,880$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.0882043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Blue Jackets35c1,643$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5745752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Ducks50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks50c1,445$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.51,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Blue Jackets50c1,340$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jackets1c1,333$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.337450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Ducks73c1,306$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5228251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Ducks50c1,182$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.0151452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Blue Jackets34c1,128$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.0429926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks50c1,109$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.5451044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Blue Jackets47c1,088$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Ducks52c1,026$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.6219645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Ducks51c1,020$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.8541248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Ducks73c1,012$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.337358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jackets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Ducks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Blue Jackets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jackets51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Blue Jackets48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48032451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jackets35c996.13$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.931,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ducks53c843.5$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.3889547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Ducks79c842.95$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.394100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jackets21c829.72$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.742,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Blue Jackets9c800$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684447.7%21 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Blue Jackets50c770$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2822…741dbacked Ducks52c770$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.69254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Ducks51c704.9$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.42650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Blue Jackets35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24513448.5%65 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…767cbacked Blue Jackets27c678$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Blue Jackets36c677.33$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.531,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Ducks74c617$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.4285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Blue Jackets50c607.41$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7756649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blue Jackets22c599.01$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.851,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Blue Jackets47c596.58$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.3988151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Ducks68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2441757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jackets48c580.95$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.8663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Blue Jackets31c555.64$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.191,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks51c531$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.191,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Ducks51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Blue Jackets32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013435.8%48 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Ducks50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25013448.5%65 W · 69 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Blue Jackets2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks52c499.9$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9581846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Blue Jackets48c492.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6432946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Blue Jackets50c492$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24618159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Blue Jackets31c455.56$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.181,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jackets48c450$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ducks73c444.83$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.622,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Blue Jackets38c443$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.476527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Ducks55c442.22$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.2225050.4%126 W · 124 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Ducks53c415.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0910250%51 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Ducks50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Ducks50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e887backed Blue Jackets51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Ducks51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19612648.4%61 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f45…5e8fbacked Blue Jackets14c397.77$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.055427.8%15 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Blue Jackets48c394.26$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2448050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Blue Jackets51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008845.5%40 W · 48 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Ducks50c388.34$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.292540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…fe8fbacked Ducks52c383.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Blue Jackets10c381.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404731.9%15 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Ducks50c365.47$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Blue Jackets35c314.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Blue Jackets49c307.53$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15078443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Ducks50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15075946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.