NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc219c3c28b361c8592c882546dc6f9e97ca66b038ccd69b8af0c1542c6cbbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 57c | 11,323$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,873.11 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 43c | 9,424$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.29 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 44c | 3,081$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.74 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 56c | 2,874$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.56 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 1,537$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.91 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 56c | 870.73$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.12 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 43c | 578$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.54 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 53c | 517.02$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 56c | 515$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.6 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…b669backed Under | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 44c | 444$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 57c | 352$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 291.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 44c | 285$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 58c | 256.75$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked Under | 47c | 198$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 53c | 119.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 44c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 44c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 44c | 60.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. DucksDucks won
- Blue Jackets vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Ducks won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Blue Jackets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.