College Football · resolved market
Florida Atlantic vs. Rice
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb517592632f0a0ee181c06fbc3d18d2f64edab3cf6a984092e2fdb22b86ebc43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlanticof Florida Atlantic, Rice
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb412…3026backed Rice | 63c | 5,242$3,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Florida Atlantic | 37c | 4,325$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.75 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rice | 37c | 3,797$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.99 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Rice | 45c | 3,266$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.17 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida Atlantic | 34c | 3,171$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.69 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Florida Atlantic | 45c | 1,715$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.61 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rice | 45c | 1,209$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.73 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Florida Atlantic | 78c | 761.81$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.21 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Florida Atlantic | 36c | 700$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rice | 62c | 603.05$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.14 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Florida Atlantic | 66c | 581.19$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.07 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rice | 2c | 458.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Florida Atlantic | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Florida Atlantic | 35c | 313.27$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.91 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rice | 65c | 261.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Rice | 65c | 202.52$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Florida Atlantic | 55c | 179.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.46 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Florida Atlantic | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…dfaebacked Florida Atlantic | 75c | 137.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Florida Atlantic | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 130.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Florida Atlantic | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Rice | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Florida Atlantic | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rice | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Florida Atlantic | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Florida Atlantic | 76c | 92.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rice | 62c | 78.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…329ebacked Florida Atlantic | 48c | 74.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Florida Atlantic | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf974…f5eebacked Rice | 70c | 64.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…d466backed Rice | 66c | 63.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Florida Atlantic | 60c | 58.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abe…0a42backed Florida Atlantic | 55c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Rice | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Florida Atlantic | 75c | 48.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…fa51backed Florida Atlantic | 79c | 40.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Rice | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Rice | 63c | 37.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…3ba5backed Florida Atlantic | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Florida Atlantic | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Rice | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Rice | 55c | 25.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Florida Atlantic | 59c | 20.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Atlantic vs. Ricethis page
- Florida Atlantic vs. Rice: O/U 54.5Under won
- O/U 52.5Under won
- Spread: Rice (-4.5)Florida Atlantic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.