TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf7f…329e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rutgers vs. Washingtonbacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Miami vs. Florida Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Kansas vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Florida Atlantic vs. Ricebacked Florida Atlantic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+107.2%+$38.61
Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Texas State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+309.1%+$77.27
Virginia vs. Louisvillebacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Central Michigan vs. Akronbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Wake Forest vs. Virginia Techbacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Templebacked Temple · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
Kansas State vs. Baylorbacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.73
Air Force vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$32.44
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+200.4%+$30.05
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+134.1%+$25.31
All 5 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.07
Thunder vs. Hornetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$6.46
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.18
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will AS Monaco FC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$25.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Arouca win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.