College Football · resolved market
Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd0bb9d05f0282c211af6cf7ff079d4ff4a5a39300431c0860698f5f46b8a9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami (OH)of Miami (OH), Northern Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Miami (OH) | 66c | 758.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.62 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Northern Illinois | 34c | 589.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northern Illinois | 43c | 427.23$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.22 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Miami (OH) | 54c | 426.18$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Northern Illinois | 5c | 224.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northern Illinois | 6c | 196.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Illinois | 43c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Northern Illinois | 35c | 104.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Northern Illinois | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Northern Illinois | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Miami (OH) | 64c | 98.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…d466backed Miami (OH) | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Northern Illinois | 34c | 90.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Northern Illinois | 30c | 56.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Miami (OH) | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Miami (OH) | 62c | 43.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…5ecbbacked Northern Illinois | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Northern Illinois | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Miami (OH) | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Miami (OH) | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Northern Illinois | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Miami (OH) | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…329ebacked Northern Illinois | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd715…5792backed Miami (OH) | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinoisthis page
- O/U 38.5Over won
- Spread: Miami (OH) (-4.5)Miami (OH) won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.