College Football · resolved market
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Temple
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2819e7e4faaed67e50185131d330e25912e04ad913bcb0513c778b3214ec0e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Templeof UTSA Roadrunners, Temple
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 2,645$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Temple | 33c | 1,564$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.64 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 67c | 936.03$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.14 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UTSA Roadrunners | 20c | 930.85$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed UTSA Roadrunners | 70c | 915.21$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed UTSA Roadrunners | 2c | 860.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed UTSA Roadrunners | 35c | 836.39$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.74 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Temple | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Temple | 30c | 372.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.87 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 13c | 353$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 264.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Temple | 73c | 236.03$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…6193backed UTSA Roadrunners | 27c | 220.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed UTSA Roadrunners | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Temple | 66c | 118.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Temple | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed UTSA Roadrunners | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Temple | 31c | 77.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Temple | 49c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Temple | 30c | 66.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…d466backed UTSA Roadrunners | 70c | 60.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Temple | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed UTSA Roadrunners | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6bb0backed UTSA Roadrunners | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Temple | 30c | 46.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Temple | 31c | 46.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Temple | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…0da3backed Temple | 64c | 44.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed UTSA Roadrunners | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Temple | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…a77dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed UTSA Roadrunners | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…329ebacked Temple | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Temple | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…e801backed UTSA Roadrunners | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…4b52backed Temple | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…2066backed UTSA Roadrunners | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. Templethis page
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-6.5)Temple won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.