NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946d0f2933318cfb9a36afa624b18d5b21e275ceac0aee036517c42bfe05af34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Lakers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 43c | 38,388$16,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,547.88 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 57c | 35,977$20,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,461.5 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Lakers | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.99 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Warriors | 55c | 16,587$9,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,398.22 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2943…177abacked Lakers | 40c | 8,300$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3d…12e7backed Lakers | 33c | 6,956$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Lakers | 46c | 5,073$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.85 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Lakers | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lakers | 28c | 4,854$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.09 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…45b0backed Lakers | 33c | 3,788$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers | 1c | 3,734$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…f5b9backed Warriors | 74c | 3,328$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lakers | 24c | 3,033$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.23 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0471…2f68backed Warriors | 60c | 2,800$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…894abacked Warriors | 60c | 2,300$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Warriors | 73c | 2,129$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.93 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6f…5fc8backed Warriors | 60c | 1,976$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…c720backed Lakers | 42c | 1,765$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…5ce8backed Warriors | 58c | 1,558$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lakers | 1c | 1,433$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Warriors | 66c | 1,409$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Lakers | 34c | 1,378$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.52 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Lakers | 42c | 1,282$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.3 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed Lakers | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Lakers | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Warriors | 63c | 1,043$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.91 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Warriors | 67c | 1,030$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.8 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lakers | 2c | 1,028$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Warriors | 60c | 1,007$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.9 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Lakers | 25c | 997.33$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.33 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 70c | 983.33$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.45 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd54a…00c0backed Warriors | 60c | 970$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Lakers | 32c | 922.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers | 44c | 912$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.28 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Lakers | 33c | 881.65$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.59 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Warriors | 70c | 873.52$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.73 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Lakers | 43c | 849.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Lakers | 31c | 849.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lakers | 37c | 811.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Lakers | 42c | 800.84$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.95 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Lakers | 35c | 783.22$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.63 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers | 36c | 775$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…9164backed Warriors | 59c | 762.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed Lakers | 44c | 762.5$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lakers | 44c | 733.72$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.84 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Lakers | 48c | 688.55$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.16 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Lakers | 15c | 656.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Warriors | 60c | 631.25$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lakers | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Lakers | 21c | 599.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Warriors | 68c | 588.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.93 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Lakers | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Lakers | 27c | 582.59$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Lakers | 2c | 572$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 43c | 570.53$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors | 66c | 535.05$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.38 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Lakers | 21c | 525.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.72 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Lakers | 43c | 521.1$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.63 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lakers | 29c | 518.92$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.65 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lakers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Warriors | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…0054backed Lakers | 37c | 483.63$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…452bbacked Warriors | 67c | 482.42$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edc…2d23backed Warriors | 77c | 434.41$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Lakers | 23c | 429.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Warriors | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Warriors | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lakers | 4c | 405$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…47acbacked Lakers | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…6d7dbacked Warriors | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Warriors | 26c | 384$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.16 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…179bbacked Warriors | 61c | 362.3$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…da32backed Lakers | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Lakers | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Lakers | 29c | 329.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Lakers | 37c | 304.84$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Lakers | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Lakers | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Warriors | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Lakers | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Lakers | 13c | 257.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…c3c6backed Warriors | 60c | 254$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…9532backed Lakers | 10c | 251.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…1e9dbacked Lakers | 41c | 246$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Lakers | 9c | 226.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Warriors | 67c | 220.79$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Lakers | 26c | 212.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Lakers | 33c | 210$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Lakers | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Lakers | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Warriors | 69c | 199.93$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lakers | 17c | 192.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Lakers | 28c | 186.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lakers | 22c | 186.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…9f05backed Warriors | 66c | 184.54$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Warriors | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207d…7a98backed Lakers | 30c | 154.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed Warriors | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Lakers | 24c | 149.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.