NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f0853b5db8f671ed468006065b850de0334ea85d31677fe744a4150e8c6ac0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 36c | 31,444$11,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,310.3 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Thunder | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…28bfbacked Thunder | 62c | 13,647$8,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 51c | 13,413$6,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,558.76 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Hornets | 49c | 11,746$5,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,751.48 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Hornets | 38c | 7,523$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.13 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Hornets | 37c | 4,954$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.11 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Hornets | 46c | 4,119$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Hornets | 29c | 3,577$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.45 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Thunder | 80c | 2,559$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.61 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Thunder | 70c | 2,166$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.49 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Hornets | 36c | 1,853$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.16 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edc…2d23backed Hornets | 49c | 1,720$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 1c | 1,720$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Thunder | 64c | 1,566$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 69c | 1,529$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.1 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Thunder | 71c | 1,259$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.56 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Hornets | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…2252backed Hornets | 26c | 1,054$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Thunder | 68c | 1,043$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.76 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Thunder | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Hornets | 32c | 882.9$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.54 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed Hornets | 11c | 875$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Thunder | 64c | 782.25$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Hornets | 25c | 699.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed Hornets | 26c | 688.45$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…0912backed Thunder | 75c | 670.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Thunder | 76c | 654.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 64c | 627.44$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.44 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Thunder | 68c | 613.41$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.29 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…9164backed Thunder | 74c | 608$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Hornets | 32c | 587.5$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28d…90c3backed Hornets | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…4022backed Thunder | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…2560backed Thunder | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…3971backed Hornets | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hornets | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Thunder | 70c | 493.56$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b8…be4cbacked Thunder | 71c | 476.37$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Thunder | 61c | 472.48$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.92 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -12.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Thunder | 57c | 415.14$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.51 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Thunder | 60c | 410.38$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Thunder | 71c | 400$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed Thunder | 75c | 397.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Thunder | 72c | 352.04$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…312dbacked Thunder | 62c | 332.9$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c0…93fdbacked Hornets | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Thunder | 60c | 287.88$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Thunder | 71c | 269$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Hornets | 23c | 266.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Hornets | 38c | 265$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Hornets | 17c | 254.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Thunder | 68c | 254.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Hornets | 17c | 233.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Thunder | 58c | 233.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 58c | 208.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Thunder | 69c | 203$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Thunder | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…e05dbacked Hornets | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +682.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Thunder | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127c…3743backed Hornets | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Thunder | 64c | 198.95$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Thunder | 54c | 183.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Thunder | 63c | 175.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Thunder | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Thunder | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Thunder | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Thunder | 59c | 143.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +418.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Thunder | 75c | 134.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Thunder | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…b437backed Thunder | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Hornets | 30c | 130.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Thunder | 80c | 125.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 427 | 44.5%190 W · 237 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Hornets | 16c | 124.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Hornets | 29c | 124.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…b3a4backed Hornets | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Hornets | 30c | 114.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…c9ffbacked Thunder | 71c | 109.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x841b…d46dbacked Thunder | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699e…b429backed Thunder | 71c | 100.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…2cfdbacked Thunder | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Hornets | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86b…31aebacked Hornets | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Thunder | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf326…027fbacked Hornets | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Hornets | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Hornets | 16c | 99.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Thunder | 59c | 99.07$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Hornets | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…c102backed Thunder | 60c | 85.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…5ecbbacked Thunder | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Thunder | 72c | 83.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Hornets | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Thunder | 64c | 78.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Thunder | 58c | 78.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Thunder | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Hornets | 26c | 69.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Hornets | 40c | 67.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Hornets | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.