College Football · resolved market
Wake Forest vs. Virginia Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f721b1f8518a108ec68536c14a0478a771a269e89b94f871e0d09534aca01bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forestof Wake Forest, Virginia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wake Forest | 56c | 13,313$7,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,841.66 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Wake Forest | 34c | 5,885$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.03 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wake Forest | 66c | 4,884$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.41 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Virginia Tech | 65c | 4,694$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.1 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Virginia Tech | 66c | 4,379$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.14 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Virginia Tech | 42c | 3,502$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.89 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wake Forest | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.97 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Virginia Tech | 6c | 2,983$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.01 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Wake Forest | 77c | 2,873$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wake Forest | 34c | 2,820$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.2 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Virginia Tech | 33c | 2,169$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.64 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Virginia Tech | 38c | 2,076$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.93 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Virginia Tech | 65c | 1,953$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.53 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Virginia Tech | 34c | 1,709$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Wake Forest | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 1,310$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.09 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virginia Tech | 68c | 1,210$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.68 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Virginia Tech | 66c | 1,001$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.47 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Wake Forest | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Virginia Tech | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Virginia Tech | 1c | 999$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 941.18$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…2be0backed Virginia Tech | 34c | 673.83$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Wake Forest | 35c | 628.57$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.57 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Wake Forest | 70c | 623.97$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Wake Forest | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Virginia Tech | 34c | 577.63$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 389.75$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.03 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wake Forest | 64c | 343.03$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Virginia Tech | 28c | 325.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Wake Forest | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Wake Forest | 65c | 227.91$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Virginia Tech | 64c | 204.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Wake Forest | 70c | 172.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Wake Forest | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked Wake Forest | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Virginia Tech | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Virginia Tech | 30c | 112$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Wake Forest | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…7e99backed Wake Forest | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Virginia Tech | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Wake Forest | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Virginia Tech | 42c | 72.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Virginia Tech | 40c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Virginia Tech | 64c | 66.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Virginia Tech | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Virginia Tech | 61c | 59.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Wake Forest | 33c | 56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Virginia Tech | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c7…1f49backed Virginia Tech | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Wake Forest | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…d466backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 41.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Virginia Tech | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Virginia Tech | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…a77dbacked Virginia Tech | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…4b52backed Wake Forest | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…5ecbbacked Wake Forest | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…329ebacked Wake Forest | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…2066backed Virginia Tech | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wake Forest vs. Virginia Techthis page
- O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Virginia Tech (-6.5)Wake Forest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.