NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac889c3dacf0c9f347deda8a631a86a2f983b5b031acca91bdad95311eaf96fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 5,150$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.3 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Timberwolves | 68c | 4,062$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.98 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Nuggets | 38c | 4,044$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 44c | 3,890$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Nuggets | 59c | 3,211$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.82 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nuggets | 25c | 1,967$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.28 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,230$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.33 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…4979backed Nuggets | 59c | 1,177$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…5bddbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 1,176$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Nuggets | 47c | 957$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.79 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 2c | 954.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b8…be4cbacked Nuggets | 58c | 860.37$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.67 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Nuggets | 18c | 757.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Timberwolves | 38c | 750$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Timberwolves | 42c | 699$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.42 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Timberwolves | 40c | 677.7$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.62 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 591.87$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.12 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa161…86fdbacked Nuggets | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Nuggets | 44c | 458.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Nuggets | 59c | 440.68$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 431.45$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Timberwolves | 38c | 429.39$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.82 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Nuggets | 34c | 332.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…c1aabacked Nuggets | 57c | 315$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Nuggets | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuggets | 4c | 298$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…b071backed Timberwolves | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 62c | 275$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…4836backed Timberwolves | 43c | 270$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0b…da8cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 264.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Nuggets | 62c | 237.39$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 212.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…2130backed Timberwolves | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…5ecbbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…f659backed Nuggets | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…7dc7backed Timberwolves | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Timberwolves | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -18.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Timberwolves | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…37cfbacked Nuggets | 58c | 181.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecd…801ebacked Timberwolves | 43c | 171.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Nuggets | 63c | 170.35$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.32 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Timberwolves | 53c | 169$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Nuggets | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 63.6%178 W · 102 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Nuggets | 48c | 161$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Timberwolves | 40c | 155.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…0a1dbacked Nuggets | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Timberwolves | 43c | 127.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Timberwolves | 43c | 121.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…4795backed Nuggets | 32c | 120.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 121 | 63.6%77 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118f…9088backed Nuggets | 33c | 118.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…9910backed Nuggets | 68c | 117.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…ee14backed Nuggets | 35c | 111.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b61…be28backed Nuggets | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…7c06backed Nuggets | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Timberwolves | 37c | 108$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…aa1fbacked Nuggets | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…1d77backed Nuggets | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…1513backed Nuggets | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Nuggets | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 564 | 66.8%377 W · 187 L | +41.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…15f9backed Nuggets | 38c | 105.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Nuggets | 58c | 103.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Timberwolves | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1eb…76febacked Nuggets | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Timberwolves | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Timberwolves | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nuggets | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Timberwolves | 69c | 98.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 177 | 69.5%123 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…f76dbacked Nuggets | 38c | 97.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Timberwolves | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Nuggets | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Timberwolves | 42c | 88.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…0f34backed Timberwolves | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Nuggets | 59c | 85.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Nuggets | 45c | 85.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nuggets | 51c | 83.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Timberwolves | 41c | 79.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Nuggets | 14c | 79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Timberwolves | 66c | 76.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Timberwolves | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4562…aa66backed Nuggets | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5776…694abacked Nuggets | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 59.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…a055backed Nuggets | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc897…9e6cbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 55.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Timberwolves | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 53.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x965c…c858backed Nuggets | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…5773backed Nuggets | 41c | 48.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 62c | 48.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…c1e9backed Timberwolves | 43c | 47.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c33…1b14backed Nuggets | 58c | 47.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Timberwolves | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Nuggets | 41c | 43.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…cfa8backed Nuggets | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d7b7backed Timberwolves | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.