College Football · resolved market
Central Michigan vs. Akron
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b2d4c0e59b20102db24730a2414cb18d219125e2447166bd4729af3e5c9ba70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akronof Central Michigan, Akron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Central Michigan | 72c | 3,290$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.8 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Akron | 28c | 2,475$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Central Michigan | 71c | 1,158$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Akron | 29c | 1,060$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.65 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Akron | 28c | 883.81$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.57 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Akron | 27c | 842.89$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.31 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Central Michigan | 73c | 822.49$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Central Michigan | 39c | 790$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Central Michigan | 3c | 750.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Central Michigan | 72c | 669.64$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.14 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Akron | 28c | 669.64$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.14 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Central Michigan | 21c | 441.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Michigan | 34c | 398.54$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Akron | 43c | 347.73$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Akron | 31c | 331.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.05 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Central Michigan | 44c | 299$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Central Michigan | 72c | 197.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Akron | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Akron | 40c | 139$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Akron | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Akron | 28c | 61.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…d466backed Central Michigan | 73c | 58.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Akron | 27c | 55.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Central Michigan | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Central Michigan | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…8437backed Central Michigan | 71c | 27.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Central Michigan | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Akron | 66c | 21.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Akron | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd715…5792backed Central Michigan | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…329ebacked Central Michigan | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Michigan vs. Akronthis page
- Spread: Central Michigan (-7.5)Akron won
- Spread: Central Michigan (-8.5)Akron won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.