College Football · resolved market
Kansas State vs. Baylor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x107eb797eb91aa6dc6b583c020e7c50ed9aa4e1f4a3bd3060fe425cbd97cdf49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baylorof Kansas State, Baylor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Baylor | 52c | 42,485$22,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,395.57 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kansas State | 48c | 14,256$6,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,858.16 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Baylor | 73c | 9,080$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.67 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Kansas State | 35c | 7,632$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.34 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Kansas State | 28c | 7,594$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.34 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Baylor | 55c | 6,514$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.33 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Baylor | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas State | 54c | 4,734$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.98 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kansas State | 45c | 4,102$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.21 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Kansas State | 45c | 3,689$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Kansas State | 34c | 3,394$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.95 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kansas State | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas State | 18c | 2,727$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.95 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas State | 73c | 1,875$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.95 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Kansas State | 35c | 1,832$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.72 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kansas State | 37c | 1,797$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.35 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas State | 46c | 1,696$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.84 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kansas State | 1c | 1,576$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Baylor | 57c | 1,283$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.69 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Kansas State | 24c | 1,229$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.86 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Baylor | 65c | 970$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kansas State | 41c | 949.09$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.83 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kansas State | 34c | 735.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Kansas State | 22c | 696.37$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Baylor | 30c | 650$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Baylor | 66c | 632.36$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Baylor | 64c | 596.69$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Baylor | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baylor | 57c | 497.66$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.45 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Baylor | 65c | 480.77$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.27 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Baylor | 57c | 466.27$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Baylor | 67c | 447.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Baylor | 63c | 441.05$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.19 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kansas State | 34c | 415$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…7e99backed Kansas State | 34c | 403$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Kansas State | 41c | 344$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.47 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Kansas State | 35c | 327.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Baylor | 65c | 307.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Kansas State | 59c | 287.86$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kansas State | 36c | 279.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Kansas State | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Kansas State | 58c | 200.71$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Baylor | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kansas State | 13c | 198$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Kansas State | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…329ebacked Kansas State | 49c | 190.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Kansas State | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Kansas State | 41c | 181.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed Baylor | 61c | 162.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Baylor | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Baylor | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas State | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Baylor | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…d0ebbacked Baylor | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Baylor | 63c | 142.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Kansas State | 36c | 140.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Baylor | 54c | 138.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Baylor | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Kansas State | 16c | 128.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Kansas State | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kansas State | 33c | 121.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…3b11backed Baylor | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Kansas State | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kansas State | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Kansas State | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Baylor | 59c | 93.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Kansas State | 41c | 85.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Baylor | 64c | 72.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Kansas State | 41c | 69.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…a240backed Kansas State | 20c | 68.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Baylor | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Baylor | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Kansas State | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Baylor | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…6bb0backed Kansas State | 34c | 54.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…8c1bbacked Baylor | 46c | 53.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Baylor | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Baylor | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas State | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…a77dbacked Kansas State | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Baylor | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…d466backed Baylor | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…b363backed Kansas State | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…b1babacked Kansas State | 77c | 30.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Baylor | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…2d85backed Kansas State | 63c | 25.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Baylor | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Baylor | 66c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Baylor | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Kansas State | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…4b84backed Baylor | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas State vs. Baylorthis page
- Kansas State vs. Baylor: O/U 60.5Over won
- O/U 61.5Over won
- Spread: Baylor (-5.5)Kansas State won
- Spread: Baylor (-6.5)Kansas State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.