College Football · resolved market
Miami vs. Florida State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x916de3d41158298778e360dd27a476f6023905ceefae4ec5d6f3681a96f4f6c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miamiof Miami, Florida State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Miami | 62c | 72,135$44,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,543.78 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami | 65c | 66,932$43,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,166.98 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Florida State | 38c | 46,366$17,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,619.08 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Florida State | 38c | 44,858$17,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,018.15 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Florida State | 38c | 23,662$8,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888.4 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Miami | 63c | 17,839$11,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600.41 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Florida State | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.97 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Florida State | 12c | 11,422$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.75 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Miami | 60c | 11,004$6,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,401.6 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Florida State | 38c | 9,277$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.11 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Florida State | 24c | 8,510$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.08 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Florida State | 7c | 8,322$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.93 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Florida State | 38c | 6,829$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.6 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Florida State | 0c | 6,277$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Miami | 62c | 6,220$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…d475backed Florida State | 16c | 5,606$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Florida State | 1c | 5,300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Miami | 71c | 5,271$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.78 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Miami | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Miami | 63c | 3,750$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Florida State | 39c | 3,077$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c23dbacked Florida State | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Florida State | 1c | 2,950$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Florida State | 18c | 2,804$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.8 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…e036backed Miami | 61c | 2,600$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…1db7backed Florida State | 39c | 2,200$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Miami | 73c | 2,179$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.27 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Miami | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ec52backed Florida State | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Miami | 69c | 1,906$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.62 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Miami | 62c | 1,787$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.54 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked Miami | 62c | 1,625$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Miami | 62c | 1,623$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Miami | 63c | 1,584$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.08 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida State | 32c | 1,247$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.21 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Florida State | 16c | 1,219$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Florida State | 18c | 1,095$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Florida State | 11c | 1,067$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Florida State | 38c | 1,065$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.7 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Florida State | 52c | 1,031$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Florida State | 37c | 1,025$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.53 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Florida State | 10c | 1,014$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Miami | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Miami | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Miami | 62c | 965.1$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.1 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Miami | 63c | 923.77$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Miami | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Miami | 63c | 799.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Miami | 63c | 795.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.24 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Miami | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…0f12backed Miami | 63c | 784.27$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.18 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…a9c3backed Miami | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Miami | 65c | 764.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.09 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Miami | 60c | 758.98$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.78 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab0…6659backed Florida State | 15c | 750$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Florida State | 35c | 734.07$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.81 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Florida State | 11c | 733.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami | 67c | 701.25$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.89 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Florida State | 14c | 685.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Miami | 55c | 661.73$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.14 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…d0ebbacked Florida State | 39c | 631.94$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Miami | 61c | 625.61$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Florida State | 40c | 603.31$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.32 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Miami | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Miami | 62c | 582$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.16 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Miami | 70c | 570.99$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Miami | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Florida State | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Miami | 60c | 500.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.01 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Miami | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Florida State | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Florida State | 3c | 495$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Miami | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Florida State | 40c | 479.54$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…bceabacked Miami | 62c | 462.34$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Miami | 62c | 419.34$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Florida State | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Florida State | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Miami | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…7bb9backed Florida State | 38c | 346.74$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…8bc3backed Florida State | 38c | 333$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Florida State | 45c | 325.61$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Miami | 61c | 325$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Miami | 61c | 318$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.02 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Miami | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4a…ffaebacked Miami | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Miami | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…124fbacked Miami | 66c | 299.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee15…15a7backed Miami | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…4ce8backed Florida State | 39c | 272.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Miami | 63c | 270.72$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…2747backed Florida State | 38c | 256.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8874…0b31backed Miami | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…c193backed Miami | 63c | 244.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Miami | 62c | 240$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Miami | 63c | 236.68$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Miami | 66c | 227.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…b9f3backed Miami | 64c | 206.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Florida State | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Miami | 63c | 200$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami vs. Florida Statethis page
- O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (-3.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.