MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7735badb51d81cb8bc2321132f36ed14544283230325a34196ed7346f56e7915
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 44c | 72,301$31,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,716.35 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 64c | 65,254$41,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,900.07 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 59c | 40,627$23,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,969.87 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dodgers | 43c | 23,645$10,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,361.86 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers | 41c | 17,777$7,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,488.43 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 56c | 17,679$9,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,898.68 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 55c | 16,667$9,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,541.56 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 45c | 16,302$7,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,965.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Dodgers | 42c | 14,149$5,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,150.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 55c | 14,070$7,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,718.43 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 40c | 11,078$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,596.18 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Mariners | 56c | 10,680$6,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,011.9 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 68c | 9,370$6,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,345.44 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Dodgers | 41c | 8,803$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.77 | 359 | 54.6%196 W · 163 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 39c | 5,143$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.84 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mariners | 30c | 5,082$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.18 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Mariners | 12c | 4,814$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Dodgers | 36c | 4,314$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.56 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mariners | 58c | 4,146$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.57 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Dodgers | 63c | 4,079$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.36 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mariners | 47c | 3,963$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.81 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Dodgers | 27c | 3,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Dodgers | 27c | 2,954$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.85 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 56c | 2,774$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.71 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariners | 47c | 2,751$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.44 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…8a5abacked Mariners | 59c | 2,578$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Dodgers | 26c | 2,564$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.68 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Dodgers | 40c | 2,484$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.23 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 74c | 2,304$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.24 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Mariners | 59c | 2,304$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dodgers | 75c | 2,266$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.94 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Dodgers | 35c | 2,172$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.35 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Mariners | 57c | 2,043$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.49 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Mariners | 68c | 1,892$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.42 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Mariners | 50c | 1,844$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.1 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 41c | 1,793$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariners | 24c | 1,668$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Dodgers | 27c | 1,468$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.33 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Dodgers | 46c | 1,456$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.07 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Dodgers | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 43c | 1,165$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Dodgers | 45c | 1,065$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.75 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Dodgers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.2 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Mariners | 58c | 1,056$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.19 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 41c | 1,032$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Dodgers | 45c | 1,008$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.38 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Dodgers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Dodgers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Mariners | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Dodgers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Dodgers | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Dodgers | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Dodgers | 61c | 978.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.08 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…fe65backed Mariners | 55c | 970.91$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Dodgers | 54c | 965.47$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.12 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Dodgers | 32c | 937.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.29 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 53c | 874.65$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.57 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Dodgers | 43c | 850$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Dodgers | 36c | 823.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.12 | 632 | 52.7%333 W · 299 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Dodgers | 41c | 785.21$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.13 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Dodgers | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Dodgers | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 62c | 670.17$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.54 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Mariners | 55c | 644.61$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Mariners | 54c | 636$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.36 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Dodgers | 40c | 621.11$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.67 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Dodgers | 42c | 607.14$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.14 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Dodgers | 68c | 595.63$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.58 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Dodgers | 43c | 592$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.44 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mariners | 60c | 590.03$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.98 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers | 52c | 575.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.81 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Dodgers | 57c | 569.14$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Dodgers | 43c | 548$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.36 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Dodgers | 32c | 545.93$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.11 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Dodgers | 44c | 538.11$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.34 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Dodgers | 43c | 519.47$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 1,091 | 46.3%505 W · 586 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Dodgers | 54c | 510$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.94 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 45c | 500$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.97 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Dodgers | 30c | 500$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.44 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Dodgers | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Dodgers | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Mariners | 42c | 470$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mariners | 40c | 416.37$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Mariners | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 35c | 386.4$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Mariners | 53c | 351.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Mariners | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 28c | 347$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.84 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…3d4fbacked Dodgers | 46c | 342$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mariners | 12c | 333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…d338backed Dodgers | 46c | 330$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…97b8backed Dodgers | 69c | 320.83$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…9a6abacked Dodgers | 46c | 311$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Dodgers | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Dodgers | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Dodgers | 44c | 288.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dodgers vs. Marinersthis page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.