NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30ecac43c75f9aaa6faf8d01e1ae08784696eed75969ac43b6a7de6381b703c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 53c | 10,421$5,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,523.27 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 10,381$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.72 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 4,553$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Over | 49c | 4,010$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.2 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Under | 51c | 2,902$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 2,700$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 50c | 1,709$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.33 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 571.01$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 51c | 447.06$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.06 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…6c50backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 188.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…217abacked Over | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 50c | 129.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 66.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 50c | 59.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Under | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 50c | 26.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…43b6backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Under | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Pacers won
- Kings vs. PacersPacers won
- Kings vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
- Kings vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.