NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Pacers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba26ed625307d9c4a3b8fd1943d0304861aaa2c4ab6ae2458a5c1130a8db76ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Kings, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Pacers | 57c | 660.72$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.11 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Kings | 43c | 376.74$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Kings | 43c | 318.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…1cfabacked Kings | 41c | 167$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Pacers | 58c | 165$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f53…5640backed Pacers | 59c | 161$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacers | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Kings | 43c | 95.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Kings | 42c | 84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Pacers | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Pacers | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Pacers | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Pacers | 58c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Kings | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Kings | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Kings | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Pacers | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Pacers | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Pacers | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Kings | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Kings | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Kings | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Pacers | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Pacers | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Pacers won
- Kings vs. PacersPacers won
- Kings vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Pacers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.