TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under52c25,000$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00015545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over48c20,582$9,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,879.495750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under52c13,883$7,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,664.0420055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80013248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under56c9,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,959.9948448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over44c6,811$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.633,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9919351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Over48c3,708$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7805437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c3,154$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c2,516$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.345,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under58c2,250$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94576054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa95…447cbacked Over49c2,229$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0922245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0801…fd93backed Under52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0081741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a0…43cfbacked Under51c2,100$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0292356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0394…20e9backed Over48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0082634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa93d…db7dbacked Over49c2,100$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0291729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf95…3114backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9802142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd499…c6b7backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc898…e5b3backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9802759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf04f…103dbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9602466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Under55c1,809$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.3327443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over50c1,782$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89158347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under53c1,733$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.242,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c1,685$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.463,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c1,571$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under53c1,516$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.6521142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c1,489$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d59…778dbacked Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33a…9bf3backed Over50c1,218$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c1,066$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.262,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over49c827$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.2362744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c793.43$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.192,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3973…2b2abacked Under52c471.15$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.152759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over47c420.62$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.321,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aba…0831backed Under53c373.47$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5318558.4%108 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over48c323.37$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0352643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15062347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over48c292$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.161,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c249$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.526,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over47c247.25$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1495049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x722c…1011backed Under61c202.34$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.12941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9744654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9649938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.317753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8955…b51dbacked Over48c160.42$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7212952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Under53c147$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.096541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Over49c121.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5611445.6%52 W · 62 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over49c114$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8650047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ea2…a465backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4854951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Over49c99.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1313550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Under54c86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.544560%27 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e4e…dc93backed Over50c84.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.25248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Over47c83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.015448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe566…9133backed Over44c82.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.381855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under50c73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.54957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x359d…1210backed Over48c69.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under65c68.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3511158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ff…1f33backed Under53c67$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Over48c64.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.028725.3%22 W · 65 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-40.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd24e…f8e1backed Under52c62.83$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.162951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c61.8$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.573,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca2…2635backed Under72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.82875%21 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x795f…1871backed Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.62552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x663b…e26cbacked Over47c52$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.442437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x28b6…217abacked Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a5d…99ebbacked Over45c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.512747.2%60 W · 67 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under52c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.524553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd64…c090backed Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.173863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Under53c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.623043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under50c43.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.142,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under55c40.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4152460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over48c40.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.371,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1156…cd4abacked Under52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Under56c39.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5793036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f3…5a90backed Over49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Over44c35.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7176247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad87…f9a1backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7135052%182 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed Over48c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.164337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c11…e23fbacked Over49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51de…587bbacked Over48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafbc…7976backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under57c26.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5715656.4%88 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec1…f195backed Under52c23.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.371060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb3…ae1ebacked Over52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3226…0cf6backed Over47c21.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…4108backed Under55c21.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.52850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under56c20.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.071,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.