TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under49c23,687$11,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,080.5415545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Over48c11,580$5,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,558.420542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over50c10,915$5,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,487.185750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9819351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…848dbacked Over51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x803e…b070backed Over52c9,219$4,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under52c8,617$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,136.874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00036248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5a…613dbacked Over51c7,843$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742a…a38fbacked Over51c7,843$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under52c6,346$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,065.6569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d59…778dbacked Over51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c5,359$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over51c4,740$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.8224053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Over50c4,724$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.3395049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c4,459$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1161,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8955…b51dbacked Over53c3,776$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over51c3,650$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.6540350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c3,641$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.681,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over51c3,367$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.2385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under53c3,333$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.5128850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under51c3,182$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.2635651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Under50c2,779$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.6517250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Over50c2,664$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3328438.1%32 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under49c2,580$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.8520055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over49c2,489$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.892,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c85…f893backed Over51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-69.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd702…2052backed Over51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…74c2backed Under49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c41…02e2backed Under49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f5e…9bd5backed Under49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02013748.9%67 W · 70 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0876746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f1…d157backed Over51c1,904$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9711947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33a…9bf3backed Over48c1,875$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over52c1,713$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.7658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over50c1,680$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Under50c1,680$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Under51c1,529$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.417458.1%43 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c1,347$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.913,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under51c1,187$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.7451753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Over51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55015756.7%89 W · 68 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over50c1,011$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c998$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over48c950$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45617744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over47c881.39$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.171,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over46c813.41$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.2484150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c812$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.762,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36015653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c717$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.088,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over51c698.78$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.2450047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c541.77$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.692,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25072647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25025642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17640243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.165540%22 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under48c386$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7248347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fde…66b2backed Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c289.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.132,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Under75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.5wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Over44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010735.5%38 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Under46c225.97$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0217941.9%75 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Over50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0461740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b2d…6e9fbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3115055.3%83 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Under50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959647.9%46 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d51…397abacked Under56c166.07$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.072070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa99…c744backed Under53c132$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Under49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over50c114.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7432649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6810751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6831852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6826648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6810646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over50c112$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6825150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24e…f8e1backed Under49c104.29$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.812951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6edb…6089backed Under50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5095548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5144654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf95…3114backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd499…c6b7backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc898…e5b3backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf04f…103dbacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c98.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.14,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under51c93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.575455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Under51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2482440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under54c85.48$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7452643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Over48c83.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404050%20 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over30c73.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.933,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.852242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb777…5abfbacked Over48c68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Over62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010646.2%49 W · 57 L-12.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under50c64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.