NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dbd900b7c32b875ac3dfcddec68e2dbfd6c61ae1199687e03e6663036ee37a0

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 8, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $87,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $88,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,586 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under	51c	25,563$13,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,525.93	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Over	47c	17,823$8,429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,428.64	205	42.9%88 W · 117 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	47c	6,300$2,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,961	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650	132	48.5%64 W · 68 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	51c	4,364$2,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,126.54	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under	54c	4,162$2,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,914.52	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	50c	2,390$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed Over	52c	2,119$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.79	137	48.9%67 W · 70 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under	47c	2,044$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.34	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535b…25a9backed Under	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.18	125	55.2%69 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	50c	1,680$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.4	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	52c	1,255$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.79	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over	53c	1,143$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.03	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Under	54c	925.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.93	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	51c	692$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.88	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	47c	670$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.9	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under	46c	500$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	346	45.7%158 W · 188 L	+12.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	49c	499.99$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	51c	498.35$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.48	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	49c	484$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.16	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5a…613dbacked Over	52c	480.77$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under	54c	423.33$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.73	409	52.1%213 W · 196 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over	46c	423.33$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.73	156	53.8%84 W · 72 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Under	55c	405.45$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.45	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-11.2wins	-0.23per pick	55cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under	48c	403.26$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.18	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Under	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	178	56.2%100 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	41c	360.26$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.43	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under	70c	260$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	156	56.4%88 W · 68 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over	61c	250$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.5	303	48.2%146 W · 157 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under	49c	228$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.32	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Over	50c	220$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-9.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Under	49c	175$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.6	446	48%214 W · 232 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	48c	146.85$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.36	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	39c	143$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.23	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under	54c	138.89$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.89	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	47c	130.22$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.91	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	658	55.6%366 W · 292 L	+27.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Under	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x569b…857ebacked Over	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under	55c	89.55$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.35	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb382…c498backed Over	70c	85.71$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	54c	78.4$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Under	48c	73$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.96	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	45c	72.57$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.66	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54a…1a58backed Over	27c	72$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under	49c	63$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.13	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…8df4backed Over	51c	62$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3646…4d91backed Over	55c	61.82$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19c9…2e09backed Over	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab2…5735backed Over	55c	55.07$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.29	87	41.4%36 W · 51 L	-8.4wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	75	50.7%38 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa351…17c3backed Over	55c	45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	47c	44.01$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.81	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Under	46c	43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf413…95fabacked Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under	48c	37$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.24	101	43.6%44 W · 57 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d85…4c7abacked Over	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under	51c	36.06$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.63	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under	48c	36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.72	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb30…6ffbbacked Under	50c	33$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under	47c	32.98$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.48	762	47.1%359 W · 403 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Under	48c	32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.64	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under	46c	31$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.74	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ae…fd0bbacked Under	47c	29$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.37	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Over	52c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.08	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-6.6wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe9d3…246cbacked Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	143	46.9%67 W · 76 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	53c	28.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.22	415	56.9%236 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeafd…2674backed Over	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1315…d32ebacked Over	52c	28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over	55c	27.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	710	44.6%317 W · 393 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Over	51c	26.87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	136	52.2%71 W · 65 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under	54c	25$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	60c	24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.5	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Over	53c	22.15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1156…cd4abacked Under	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	111	58.6%65 W · 46 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Over	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Over	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	482	55%265 W · 217 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5this page
1H Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Pacers won
Kings vs. PacersPacers won
Kings vs. Pacers: 1H MoneylinePacers won
Kings vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Pacers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Kings vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event