MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c6eec2b31e6727f7add008e241c9efd01e0d3c94179859a4d3d14bc0121351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,000,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,007,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,000,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs | 49c | 766,120$378,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378,698.95 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Mets | 50c | 298,750$150,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,958.5 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 50c | 77,777$38,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,940.62 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 51c | 55,000$28,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,749.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 51c | 43,000$21,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,069.95 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 50c | 39,234$19,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,617 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Mets | 52c | 38,462$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,461.54 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mets | 51c | 38,165$19,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,845.29 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,150 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mets | 50c | 28,901$14,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,450.68 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Mets | 51c | 22,063$11,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,811.03 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 56c | 18,440$10,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,131.15 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 49c | 17,787$8,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,730.53 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Mets | 51c | 13,000$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cubs | 48c | 11,667$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600.16 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…e4dfbacked Mets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…5724backed Cubs | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Cubs | 51c | 7,661$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.39 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 50c | 7,500$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Mets | 51c | 7,262$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.34 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets | 49c | 6,236$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.32 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Cubs | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Cubs | 48c | 5,970$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 49c | 5,945$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.11 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 51c | 5,900$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.13 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Mets | 52c | 5,790$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.2 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Cubs | 50c | 5,701$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.34 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Mets | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.95 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cubs | 7c | 4,782$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Cubs | 48c | 4,323$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.85 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Mets | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 52c | 3,583$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 51c | 3,270$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 72c | 2,562$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs | 1c | 2,206$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Mets | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Cubs | 5c | 1,998$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Cubs | 48c | 1,988$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Cubs | 17c | 1,754$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mets | 70c | 1,595$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.82 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Cubs | 4c | 1,566$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cubs | 19c | 1,401$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.19 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 5c | 1,378$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Cubs | 48c | 1,198$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Mets | 56c | 1,158$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.65 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 6c | 1,122$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cubs | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.96 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mets | 51c | 1,008$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.92 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cubs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Cubs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Cubs | 49c | 885.14$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cubs | 5c | 849$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Mets | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cubs | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cubs | 2c | 779$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Mets | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 8c | 726$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Cubs | 3c | 681.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Cubs | 48c | 666.35$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Mets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cubs | 4c | 589.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Mets | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Cubs | 52c | 526.04$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.29 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mets | 52c | 515$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Cubs | 24c | 470.56$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Cubs | 12c | 468.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Cubs | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Cubs | 11c | 431.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Cubs | 12c | 426.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 111 | 16.2%18 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Cubs | 27c | 421.61$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Cubs | 49c | 414.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mets | 50c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.15 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Mets | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Cubs | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Cubs | 48c | 339.04$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.74 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cubs | 20c | 325.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cubs | 4c | 311.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Mets | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…0d29backed Mets | 51c | 295.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…4b17backed Cubs | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cubs | 49c | 293.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 52c | 280$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Cubs | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Mets | 52c | 251.42$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cubs | 21c | 228.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ec…6c1bbacked Mets | 50c | 228.36$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c9…e847backed Mets | 50c | 225.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Cubs | 34c | 224.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…285fbacked Cubs | 51c | 222.78$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d7…194abacked Mets | 50c | 222.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…6817backed Mets | 50c | 220.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…5e3bbacked Cubs | 51c | 219.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2b…57a0backed Mets | 50c | 219.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…1d01backed Cubs | 51c | 219.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…4e0cbacked Mets | 50c | 217.82$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…3b10backed Mets | 50c | 216.72$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Cubsthis page
- New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.