TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd43c…04e8backed Under49c62,066$30,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,358.1211535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over51c31,140$15,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,258.811,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over54c17,139$9,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,884.0466853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under46c15,685$7,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,215.129351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c15,103$7,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,372.242,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over53c10,190$5,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,794.81,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Over55c9,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,05048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c7,200$3,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,338.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over54c5,980$3,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.6245348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under45c5,458$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.252460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Over53c4,721$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.4614753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under47c4,439$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.262,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9798…922cbacked Under46c4,110$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.67771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over52c3,830$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.9727443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over55c3,765$2,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.8121055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under45c2,742$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.848347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Under51c1,974$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015244.1%67 W · 85 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c1,636$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.3646258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under47c1,364$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.5415653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over55c1,364$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6465339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under49c1,227$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.451,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Over54c1,117$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.163268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Under44c984.2$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.056546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Over72c900$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2489050%45 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under46c793.48$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3651,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under46c717.49$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c611.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.862,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Over54c555$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.37055.7%39 W · 31 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Under45c526.37$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.877132.4%23 W · 48 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-36.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Over54c510$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.622053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Over59c509.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6211155%61 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e4e…498abacked Under46c482.57$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under48c481.32$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7219135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Under46c462.5$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7520542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…8416backed Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05dc…967ebacked Over55c417.27$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.773537.1%13 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under26c405.41$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.413,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4127161.3%166 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under45c401.49$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.672,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Under25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007731.2%24 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1961,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under32c377.14$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.681,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked Over55c364.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16410957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6417456.9%99 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Over51c331$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1950047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over66c305.25$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13865855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under48c292$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.161,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Over55c290.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.912352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3968…0c50backed Over55c243.82$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under48c238.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2895049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under24c222.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.361,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under49c203.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d29…4083backed Over59c203.24$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.4917341%71 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9610349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Under49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9716346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611351.3%58 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9835739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Over50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9533650.6%170 W · 166 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Over55c182.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6328046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3908…20eabacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c161.7$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.232,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over53c150$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.624447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.512952.7%68 W · 61 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c146.73$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.962,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Under50c141.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.934235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Over56c130.7$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.815131.4%16 W · 35 L-9.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1b23…39fdbacked Under46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c6…244cbacked Over55c129.65$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.349445.7%43 W · 51 L-11.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c128.81$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.122,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c123.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.89048.9%44 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Over55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0920150.7%102 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under46c107.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.653,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Under45c99.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.996157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9124248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9160346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffb2…3bb5backed Over55c81.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.824860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1d…ff79backed Under50c73.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.755646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1602…43dcbacked Over54c72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over67c66.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.781,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2af2…9aa5backed Over55c65.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.451855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Over55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6429156.4%164 W · 127 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over53c54.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7249852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5551651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f7…1cddbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under46c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6419552.8%103 W · 92 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa554…d367backed Under46c44.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2d96backed Under47c42.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.015446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.