NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcf5d8ec2f79fe66ed050876a38f4e68665f96fc1bb3467289b65b6571126eef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 24,441$12,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,063.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 50c | 20,000$9,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,989.06 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Over | 52c | 18,734$9,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,992.43 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 53c | 11,641$6,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.04 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 11,245$5,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,503 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…e517backed Under | 49c | 9,770$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,787.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 6,870$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.3 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 51c | 6,106$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.94 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.98 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 51c | 3,235$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.23 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab89…aa9bbacked Under | 50c | 3,082$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 2,809$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.42 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 50c | 2,526$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.86 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Under | 49c | 2,176$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 53c | 1,650$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.5 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Under | 48c | 1,367$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.98 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Over | 53c | 1,050$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 781.63$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 52c | 771.96$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.54 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…498abacked Under | 49c | 734.65$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 481.47$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.88 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 48c | 458.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 383.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 48c | 293.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Under | 50c | 258$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 48c | 251.19$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.57 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 33c | 219$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 66c | 133.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Over | 52c | 125.75$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc943…223cbacked Over | 52c | 112$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 51c | 111.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…1ca3backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b8…799cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Over | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…3a89backed Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…5c43backed Under | 49c | 53.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…dd67backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…aadabacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Over | 51c | 30.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…1adcbacked Under | 49c | 21.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5this page
- Knicks vs. MagicKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.