NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab1884718c20f233c52b8b67acd0c2095c0f1391fc0775f571946ce652d20c78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $540,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 50c | 154,909$77,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,454.51 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Knicks | 50c | 143,005$71,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,017.23 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 48c | 91,136$44,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,126.51 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Knicks | 51c | 63,180$32,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,158.31 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Knicks | 50c | 54,857$27,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,428.5 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Magic | 52c | 38,462$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks | 52c | 26,647$13,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,790.4 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.97 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Knicks | 49c | 19,597$9,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,994.64 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Magic | 51c | 19,120$9,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,751.26 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Knicks | 48c | 18,731$8,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,740.34 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Magic | 39c | 15,794$6,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,143.94 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks | 54c | 13,889$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,389.35 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Knicks | 51c | 11,491$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,631.26 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…fa57backed Knicks | 51c | 10,378$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Knicks | 49c | 10,160$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.39 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 49c | 10,052$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,906.37 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…3d0fbacked Knicks | 53c | 8,415$4,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Magic | 49c | 7,305$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.21 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 60c | 7,070$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 61c | 7,066$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 50c | 6,706$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Knicks | 51c | 6,254$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.66 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Magic | 51c | 6,203$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks | 52c | 6,050$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Knicks | 49c | 5,732$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.52 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Magic | 46c | 5,662$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 53c | 5,386$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.03 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 47c | 5,000$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.61 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Magic | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Knicks | 52c | 4,045$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.09 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Magic | 50c | 3,934$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.84 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Knicks | 51c | 2,652$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.32 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Knicks | 51c | 2,411$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Magic | 49c | 2,411$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Magic | 49c | 2,244$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Knicks | 49c | 2,184$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.05 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Knicks | 51c | 2,008$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.92 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Knicks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.68 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Knicks | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…4976backed Magic | 49c | 1,725$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Magic | 50c | 1,701$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.38 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Magic | 36c | 1,661$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.67 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Knicks | 50c | 1,658$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…583ebacked Magic | 49c | 1,595$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Knicks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Knicks | 51c | 1,441$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.05 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 49c | 1,395$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.44 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…cca5backed Magic | 46c | 1,112$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Knicks | 64c | 1,066$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.4 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Magic | 50c | 1,004$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Knicks | 51c | 999.94$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.97 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Knicks | 51c | 892.16$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.16 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Knicks | 52c | 800$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Knicks | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 44c | 739.6$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.95 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Knicks | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Knicks | 53c | 629.28$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.76 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Knicks | 50c | 598.8$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.4 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Knicks | 58c | 595.06$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.06 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Knicks | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 51c | 587.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.11 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Knicks | 53c | 556$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.32 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Knicks | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Magic | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Knicks | 51c | 490.74$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.52 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Magic | 49c | 446.84$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.73 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Knicks | 52c | 413.81$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.63 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Knicks | 51c | 410$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Magic | 50c | 400.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Knicks | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Knicks | 53c | 396.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Magic | 49c | 378.49$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.46 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Knicks | 51c | 364$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Magic | 48c | 333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Magic | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Magic | 59c | 292.38$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.14 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Knicks | 52c | 271.15$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Knicks | 52c | 270.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 50c | 267$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…3551backed Knicks | 66c | 251.47$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed Magic | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Knicks | 51c | 234.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 51c | 232.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Knicks | 53c | 214.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Magic | 47c | 214.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Magic | 47c | 212.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Knicks | 52c | 212.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Magic | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Knicks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Knicks | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Knicks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed Knicks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Magic | 49c | 182$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 47c | 167.02$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Magic | 39c | 153.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Knicks | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…06c2backed Magic | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- Knicks vs. MagicKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 225.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.