NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3f57cbccccfa577a42ff39a993125c28d78650457693c020cda3251dbdbb680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Knicks, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed 76ers | 51c | 13,427$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.49 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…01a3backed Knicks | 49c | 11,337$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed 76ers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Knicks | 48c | 9,816$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,711.11 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed 76ers | 51c | 8,948$4,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks | 58c | 4,293$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Knicks | 53c | 3,772$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 76ers | 50c | 1,995$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.84 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed 76ers | 47c | 1,941$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.38 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Knicks | 47c | 1,890$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.3 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 58c | 1,368$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.46 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 47c | 1,276$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.72 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 43c | 1,104$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Knicks | 47c | 975.74$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.6 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers | 53c | 865.51$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.79 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 50c | 727.88$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 49c | 686.13$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Knicks | 50c | 566.89$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.45 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 57c | 526.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked 76ers | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed 76ers | 52c | 500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Knicks | 59c | 424.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Knicks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Knicks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked 76ers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Knicks | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Knicks | 53c | 261.58$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.63 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Knicks | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked 76ers | 53c | 188.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed 76ers | 48c | 185.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Knicks | 54c | 184.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Knicks | 49c | 159.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed Knicks | 48c | 136.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed 76ers | 48c | 135.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Knicks | 25c | 133.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…6124backed 76ers | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Knicks | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers | 48c | 118$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Knicks | 55c | 114.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked 76ers | 49c | 104.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Knicks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 51c | 103.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Knicks | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked 76ers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Knicks | 48c | 99.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Knicks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed 76ers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b66…304cbacked Knicks | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed 76ers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Knicks | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Knicks | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked 76ers | 51c | 58.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Knicks | 58c | 56.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed 76ers | 48c | 55.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Knicks | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Knicks | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed 76ers | 46c | 47.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Knicks | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6127backed Knicks | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…b5a2backed Knicks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed 76ers | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 169 | 68.6%116 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…5cdcbacked Knicks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Knicks | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked 76ers | 51c | 29.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Knicks | 50c | 26.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed 76ers | 47c | 25.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…21e1backed Knicks | 47c | 23.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 119 | 30.3%36 W · 83 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…404cbacked Knicks | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…a162backed Knicks | 49c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Knicks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.