NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03c379337e4ef5f8b5207fea8aca07dae3abcad60a432bd92ec4fed58d4baf40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof 76ers, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 59c | 1,123$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked 76ers | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked 76ers | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Knicks | 45c | 445$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed 76ers | 39c | 402.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Knicks | 44c | 292.82$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.98 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 47c | 280.02$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…3837backed Knicks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Knicks | 62c | 162.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked 76ers | 39c | 137.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Knicks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…613abacked 76ers | 44c | 97.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked 76ers | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed 76ers | 51c | 58.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Knicks | 61c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed 76ers | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)76ers won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Knicks76ers won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.