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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Knicks55c77,915$43,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,0009641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed 76ers44c45,824$20,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,661.2126753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Knicks53c17,641$9,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,331.612,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7bf…c638backed 76ers47c14,721$6,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,802.281060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed 76ers47c12,800$6,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,78429351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers48c6,774$3,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,516.089,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers46c5,355$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,872.276,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed 76ers51c4,617$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.2716339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks48c4,568$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.321,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Knicks48c4,413$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.6648347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed 76ers52c4,188$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.2514549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Knicks48c3,001$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.610642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers52c2,609$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.241,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers47c2,562$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.091,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9204,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Knicks44c1,972$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.6854747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers47c1,650$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.478,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers45c1,524$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.055,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers44c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers45c1,242$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.321,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked 76ers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked 76ers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48031538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0782…ffb0backed 76ers48c966$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4581…e1cdbacked 76ers49c963$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked 76ers54c926.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.6718140.3%73 W · 108 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks48c905$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9445151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks46c848.18$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.414,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3033…eda3backed 76ers48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.332751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked 76ers55c641.89$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8566853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae4c…aa5bbacked Knicks53c620.45$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Knicks54c607$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.781127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers51c600$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2964,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffb2…3bb5backed 76ers60c546.95$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.564860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks54c523.49$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.13,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked 76ers44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28017941.9%75 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed 76ers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26549142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed 76ers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed 76ers46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27015653.8%84 W · 72 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed 76ers46c487.04$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26325039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed 76ers47c453.54$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.382,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Knicks45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849e…7f06backed Knicks51c413$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Knicks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Knicks49c385$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6550047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Knicks54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ca…8ab2backed 76ers52c370$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd7…4e85backed Knicks48c370$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Knicks45c355.91$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed 76ers51c353.81$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.32,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0219…eb7abacked Knicks52c333$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed 76ers48c333$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1652240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61a…9172backed Knicks52c327$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d6…fdc0backed Knicks51c321$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed 76ers53c316.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9850954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0329…7b44backed Knicks52c306$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked 76ers53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14116539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9879…f326backed Knicks51c229$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed 76ers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc535…6047backed Knicks54c184.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013834.1%47 W · 91 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed 76ers57c173.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9318256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Knicks53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.182440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked 76ers48c160.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.428555.3%47 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8b…0026backed Knicks45c122$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks48c113.02$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Knicks52c107.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.162445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed 76ers48c106.01$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1376247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9934…6078backed 76ers48c104.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.444030%12 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked 76ers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5080744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed 76ers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa79f…e8fbbacked Knicks43c88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.84450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Knicks50c84.28$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1476054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked 76ers48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed 76ers46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.26045%27 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed 76ers49c75.65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.681,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Knicks54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018347.5%87 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Knicks51c72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3665950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed 76ers50c68.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.081,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers53c64.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.312,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked 76ers56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.48759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Knicks54c59.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.262352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Knicks48c53.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8211930.3%36 W · 83 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Knicks45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.595548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Knicks54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe3…67bbbacked 76ers51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Knicks47c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…3b3cbacked Knicks48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.045756.1%32 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked 76ers48c47.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6593849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Knicks45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd663…05ecbacked 76ers48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked 76ers45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2219756.3%111 W · 86 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Knicks53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.29358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Knicks50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Knicks54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked 76ers57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cdb…7a7abacked Knicks52c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.165844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked 76ers46c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7488845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Knicks54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517350.9%88 W · 85 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked Knicks53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138452.4%44 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Knicks54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.962857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.