NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40d8b46b01900af7a543f07b7fddfd0ce4aee405e45f6a0a9db800f88ca82727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Under | 52c | 29,278$15,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,099.99 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 22,003$10,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,303.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 5,025$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 50c | 3,859$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 1,901$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.5 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Over | 51c | 1,341$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,218$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.18 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 48c | 568.39$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.56 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 529$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 529$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 398.48$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.55 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 267$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Under | 49c | 259.41$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 49c | 252$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Under | 55c | 222$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…cc43backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4741backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…b06abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5536…8637backed Over | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…a7bbbacked Under | 50c | 189$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf995…fc18backed Over | 50c | 188$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d565backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…5efcbacked Over | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5072…c02abacked Under | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 122$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked Over | 49c | 102.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 52c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ece…50f0backed Over | 48c | 62.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…4cc8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…eaa6backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 355 | 51.3%182 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…f018backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5this page
- Nuggets vs. ClippersNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.