Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd724a97e8c9268331b8fa50ad83189db8bdb060cb56d405576518f0bf52ee8b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed No | 47c | 216,910$101,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,347.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 147,076$78,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,244.12 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 47c | 27,003$12,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,339.16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 42c | 23,583$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 52c | 14,224$7,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,388.68 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 11,534$5,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,913.27 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 53c | 11,227$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950.36 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 7,750$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 53c | 7,394$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.96 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Yes | 53c | 6,928$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 4,966$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.65 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 4,763$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.89 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 3,687$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.4 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 53c | 3,366$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.41 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 53c | 3,345$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.85 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 55c | 1,851$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.97 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 52c | 1,497$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.07 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,344$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.2 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 47c | 1,200$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.99 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…0601backed Yes | 19c | 1,175$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 54c | 1,118$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.77 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 46c | 1,107$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.96 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,081$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.73 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 46c | 1,068$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 54c | 889.12$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.79 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 54c | 819.09$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.47 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 54c | 793.92$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.72 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 47c | 640$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 53c | 580.42$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.62 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 28c | 450$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…7b84backed Yes | 39c | 362.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 57c | 305.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.26 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 42c | 302.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 45c | 301.82$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 37c | 272.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 55c | 270.24$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 46c | 249.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…bde4backed Yes | 33c | 211.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 47c | 199.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 52c | 190.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…5aa1backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 54c | 181.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 55c | 180.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 40c | 173.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 58c | 147.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…fe50backed Yes | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 54c | 145.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 46c | 135.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 53c | 127.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 42c | 116.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…5741backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 70c | 96.36$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…895fbacked Yes | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 53c | 94.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 46c | 75.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 60c | 74.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…1847backed No | 72c | 62.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 54c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…fee8backed Yes | 41c | 59.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed No | 47c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2b…47a5backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Yes | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…9429backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…9f8fbacked Yes | 36c | 35.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 54c | 30.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 54c | 27.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will FC Lorient win on 2025-12-14?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.