TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes56c20,204$11,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,944.9762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No74c6,756$4,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.446454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45024642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No18c3,997$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.951,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No9c2,470$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9320232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c2,186$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.191,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes26c1,888$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.211241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No70c1,500$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0556553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c1,257$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.5824044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes37c613.93$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.7837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c609.58$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.8471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No74c572.77$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.8533938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No73c496.4$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.371643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No27c365.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac8…bca4backed No75c333.31$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.033447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21911735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No74c297$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.786756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c259$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2514337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes25c227$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.252924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No74c210$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.459348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1489858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c193.93$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9728448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No74c127.3$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.749348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No74c118$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3210948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c118$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3223260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed No37c110$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No28c108.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No49c106.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.429051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No74c103$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.228263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No75c88.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.371323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c80$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.217756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No74c80$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.213655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.257068.6%48 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked No74c59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.662259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No74c59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.665364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No74c59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.668653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No74c59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.669355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x644c…f6c7backed No75c59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No74c59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.669954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No74c59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.668460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfe4…5c4fbacked No74c56.16$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes25c55.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8114346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No75c54.41$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.811788.2%15 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick75cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No74c53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2211556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No74c44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5611256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No74c44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.567163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No75c42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.516644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No74c41.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.896648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes32c40.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.637945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No74c33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.426053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No74c33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.427057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No74c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.210653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No41c29.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3812343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.463464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.469354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.463161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.464656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.464062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.468755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.465052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4610158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.463562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.465356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.464656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.464759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.467655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.464259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4610556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.466060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.469355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4610652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.464557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.468858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.463560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4610756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4610055%55 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.469655.2%53 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No74c29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.467452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6af1…0b91backed No69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked No75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed No74c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.286555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed No74c22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.286656.1%37 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed No75c19.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No75c16.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55778.9%45 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e82…5803backed No77c16.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No76c13.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.061346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.