TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2025-12-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,551
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,551 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Yes31c10,508$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.2162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No78c6,410$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.26454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No13c1,240$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.820232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c1,114$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.651,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes21c1,057$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22223250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No77c708.95$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.931643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes15c593.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2422…28febacked Yes24c304.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No78c282$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.046756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes22c274.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked No80c266.25$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes20c202$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.49156%51 W · 40 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e5e…13bebacked No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No78c169.72$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8728448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-68.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No80c156.01$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.233938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.53158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes19c139$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.642924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No13c131$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9724642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes19c126.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9813016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No78c112$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6410948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No78c112$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6423260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No80c107.49$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.989348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…b60cbacked Yes24c105.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes23c101$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2350%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+95.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No78c98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.568263.4%52 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No79c92.88$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.251323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes20c92.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5926845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155529.1%16 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes16c77.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.353616.7%6 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No78c76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7217756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No78c76$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7213655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed No22c60$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…5480backed Yes20c58.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.77911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-84.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No78c56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.325364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No78c56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.328653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No78c56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.329355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No78c56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.329954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No78c56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.328460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No78c42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2411256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No78c42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.247163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No78c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.826053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No78c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.827057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No79c30.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.347946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.610653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.162259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.163464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.169354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.163161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.164656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.164062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.168755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.165052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1610158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.163562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.165356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.164656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.164759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.167655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.164259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1610556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.166060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.169355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1610652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.164557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.168858%51 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.163560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1610756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1610055%55 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.169655.2%53 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No78c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.167452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed No77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed No78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.626555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed No78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.626656.1%37 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No80c15.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.125778.9%45 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed No77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc10d…4532backed No79c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.944100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.