Us Politics · resolved market
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Thank you" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81a38a7b85717491886fb75b29d527976f883ef16dc629fb2bf5789d9e6beb2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa47b…a496backed No | 33c | 751.81$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed Yes | 66c | 523.93$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.23 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…eaabbacked No | 35c | 369.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 27c | 339.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0927…6486backed Yes | 65c | 229.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 35c | 193.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 21c | 165.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 68c | 153.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed No | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…a07bbacked Yes | 66c | 136.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8a…5af6backed No | 31c | 136.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 64c | 126.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 64c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 38c | 86.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…dd3abacked Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…d122backed Yes | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…e2d1backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e2…b4bdbacked No | 19c | 59.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…a377backed No | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…198cbacked No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…fbc5backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Yes | 64c | 45.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked Yes | 66c | 36.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x615b…2ba8backed No | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…448fbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233c…1450backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…34aabacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 72c | 29.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked No | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…4572backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…780bbacked Yes | 66c | 20.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…c681backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6308…d793backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…0bb8backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…83ebbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…32afbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…0289backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…e366backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…4fcbbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Cuomo say "Thank you" 5+ times during his victory/concession speech?this page
- Will Andrew Cuomo say "Albany" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo say "Cost of living" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo say "Democracy" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?Yes won
- Will Andrew Cuomo say "Mamdani" 3+ times during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo say "Next mayor" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo say "Socialism" or "Socialist" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo say "Tough" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo say "Working families" during his victory/concession speech?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.