CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Sharks (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e28fc399bc4105d72ae26db31a6e4eb13b8cb86e548e8270431370915c0886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Wildcard, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 69c | 2,904$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.44 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…fdfcbacked Wildcard | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wildcard | 26c | 1,786$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.27 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Wildcard | 25c | 1,614$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Sharks | 64c | 1,581$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.86 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wildcard | 36c | 1,324$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.44 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wildcard | 8c | 1,310$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Wildcard | 32c | 1,151$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.7 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wildcard | 30c | 919.85$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.76 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Sharks | 60c | 702.28$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.47 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Sharks | 62c | 545.57$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.51 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Wildcard | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Wildcard | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Sharks | 68c | 211.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Sharks | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed Wildcard | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Wildcard | 15c | 170.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Wildcard | 35c | 158.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Wildcard | 39c | 156.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Sharks | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Sharks | 65c | 153.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wildcard | 36c | 144.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…f1a3backed Wildcard | 17c | 140.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked Sharks | 64c | 139.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Wildcard | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Wildcard | 35c | 114.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Wildcard | 39c | 107.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4af…0938backed Wildcard | 34c | 97.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Wildcard | 14c | 96.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Wildcard | 18c | 88.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Wildcard | 33c | 86.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Sharks | 62c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…539cbacked Wildcard | 36c | 74.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2258…29dfbacked Wildcard | 38c | 73.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…ec74backed Wildcard | 21c | 64.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Sharks | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Sharks | 65c | 59.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…2e1fbacked Wildcard | 34c | 57.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Wildcard | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Sharks | 60c | 52.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Sharks | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Sharks | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…b2d8backed Sharks | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Sharks | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Wildcard | 37c | 29.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Wildcard | 37c | 29.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Sharks | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Sharks | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac09…a283backed Sharks | 64c | 20.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Sharks | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf757…575dbacked Sharks | 68c | 17.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Sharks | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Sharks | 63c | 16.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Sharks | 68c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Sharks (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Sharks - Map 1 WinnerSharks won
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Sharks - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.