CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x481142a073c5544f41789c7118fdaed9d766b1d9f6f2c3c30c952f6b50a82697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Wildcard, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb1f…f914backed Wildcard | 1c | 5,277$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 73c | 3,356$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.33 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wildcard | 23c | 3,089$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.83 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Wildcard | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Wildcard | 35c | 345$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Sharks | 65c | 313.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Wildcard | 34c | 287.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…0cfebacked Wildcard | 28c | 279.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Sharks | 70c | 271.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Wildcard | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Wildcard | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Wildcard | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Wildcard | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Wildcard | 22c | 141.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Sharks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Wildcard | 23c | 71.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Sharks | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 972 | 40.7%396 W · 576 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Wildcard | 39c | 60.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Sharks | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wildcard | 39c | 49.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Sharks | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…2e1fbacked Wildcard | 32c | 33.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wildcard | 38c | 28.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Sharks | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Sharks (BO3)Sharks won
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Sharks - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.