Euroleague · resolved market
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Monaco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2a3216c76d75f15dccca6fa1de6bad5eb294bd95a90f8bf9f647c78719f298f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KK Crvena Zvezdaof KK Crvena Zvezda, Monaco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Monaco | 59c | 3,648$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 3,054$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.17 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Monaco | 60c | 2,985$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.96 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 2,897$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.11 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 2,344$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.1 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 31c | 1,492$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.01 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Monaco | 61c | 1,283$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Monaco | 60c | 840$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Monaco | 55c | 483.63$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed Monaco | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 218.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Monaco | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Monaco | 62c | 121.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 116.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 50c | 100.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Monaco | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Monaco | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 39c | 79.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Monaco | 58c | 78.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 32c | 77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Monaco | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Monaco | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Monaco | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…59b1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 47c | 67.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Monaco | 49c | 60.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Monaco | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed Monaco | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed Monaco | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Monaco | 54c | 44.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7674…4139backed Monaco | 61c | 43.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3786…ffdbbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 42.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 39c | 39.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…cb45backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 42c | 38.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…30bdbacked Monaco | 61c | 38.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Monaco | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…a980backed Monaco | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Monaco | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Monaco | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Monaco | 67c | 28.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Monaco | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc0…ba48backed Monaco | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Monaco | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.