TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$301,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ42c31,279$13,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,191.3842440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ17c28,902$5,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,049.413,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ45c20,000$8,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,993.6621548.4%104 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed MOUZ44c19,337$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,60012649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality58c15,050$8,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,322.4276657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ14c12,681$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.653,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed MOUZ27c9,020$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.612955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed MOUZ17c7,084$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.985058%29 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ28c6,409$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.9323839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Vitality77c6,127$4,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.831,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed MOUZ19c5,808$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12313043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed MOUZ20c5,013$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.983839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Vitality57c4,535$2,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.3446949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Vitality57c4,294$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.4646349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked MOUZ29c4,052$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17532548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e1…7b0abacked Vitality57c3,889$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.464037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ16c3,650$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.662,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ23c3,278$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.792,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ26c2,650$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.741,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ39c2,114$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.7310335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Vitality67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66055343.2%239 W · 314 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Vitality58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1475545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Vitality57c1,571$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.884143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Vitality56c1,419$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.3221455.6%119 W · 95 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Vitality71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3213952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7623…8390backed Vitality58c1,376$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.091984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+43.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed MOUZ15c1,371$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.851,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked MOUZ21c1,250$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.461228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x213f…1da2backed Vitality61c1,193$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.4410244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ16c1,093$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.37,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed MOUZ19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe977…c4d7backed MOUZ1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed MOUZ46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed MOUZ24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024233.9%82 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2221…ec1bbacked Vitality60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.333951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed MOUZ24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19212742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23b2…ce61backed Vitality74c800$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2058065%52 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed MOUZ32c785.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25076546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked MOUZ3c783.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.615736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Vitality79c747.86$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7925352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a08…6c62backed Vitality78c743.77$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Vitality56c729.88$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.1512145.5%55 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed MOUZ28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Vitality74c700$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1792969%20 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+247.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Vitality56c691.48$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.7636245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Vitality59c557.34$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.5138259.7%228 W · 154 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Vitality75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.337652.6%40 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed MOUZ12c505.95$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7111940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Vitality57c499.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21522550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6c…7429backed MOUZ20c495.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0174…6ee3backed Vitality72c472.21$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed MOUZ16c471.2$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0627348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ24c442.95$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.034,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ42c432.6$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed Vitality74c429.99$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.710167.3%68 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked MOUZ36c421.61$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6626836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed MOUZ28c420$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9317944.1%79 W · 100 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed MOUZ25c417.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.517647.7%84 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…04f5backed MOUZ12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked MOUZ10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Vitality75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008150.6%41 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0290…e1bcbacked Vitality60c383.89$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.893574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Vitality69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3232653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Vitality69c359.38$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.815954.2%32 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Vitality78c350$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7678963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vitality71c343.75$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7969863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x742f…378fbacked MOUZ31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-81.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ32c314.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12997240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…1ceebacked MOUZ10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-50.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed Vitality68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed MOUZ7c293.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3310849.1%53 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Vitality72c284$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5211452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed MOUZ32c282.68$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8962137.7%234 W · 387 L-23.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked MOUZ18c279.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012256.6%69 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed MOUZ42c272.99$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.653253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0225…6e17backed Vitality76c262.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.222552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11b4…7e7bbacked Vitality77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.743571.4%25 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9f31…22d5backed Vitality78c255.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.693372.7%24 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Vitality61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.512638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada4…221fbacked MOUZ15c243.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed MOUZ43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked MOUZ43c231.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7223846.2%110 W · 128 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44fc…9728backed Vitality66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.124755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fc…ad4bbacked Vitality71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.276873.5%50 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cb…3212backed MOUZ24c209.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Vitality58c208$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.811,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ecd…091dbacked Vitality60c200.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.672669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked MOUZ13c200.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.552834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed Vitality57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked MOUZ17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3415320.9%32 W · 121 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Vitality75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed MOUZ28c199.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9950340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ22c183$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.154,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…b93cbacked MOUZ13c182.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa811…011dbacked Vitality68c179.31$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.312867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc22…7e8abacked MOUZ26c175.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3360%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.