TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Vitality, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,036 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed MOUZ33c22,651$7,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,474.9821051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ7c18,211$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.4181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality67c14,925$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.3776058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ11c13,220$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.683,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ20c13,126$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.033,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Vitality69c7,923$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.9213065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed MOUZ32c7,428$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37745848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16c…d7f4backed MOUZ19c7,281$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.573839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Vitality67c7,247$4,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.7721055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ33c6,520$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.1313952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ23c5,883$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.722,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Vitality67c5,551$3,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.889938.4%38 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed MOUZ36c5,300$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89012649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc05…013abacked Vitality65c4,627$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.224971.4%35 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01e1…7b0abacked Vitality68c4,589$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.694037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ32c3,500$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3532…3711backed MOUZ19c3,434$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.65058%29 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed MOUZ33c3,171$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.512653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vitality67c2,922$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.3926045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ca…b467backed Vitality79c2,286$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.949769.1%67 W · 30 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked MOUZ1c2,053$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.039941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ15c2,020$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.172,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked MOUZ15c1,868$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.391,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03a2…7e3ebacked Vitality67c1,340$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.171145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ32c1,062$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6910335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ12c1,029$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.437,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked MOUZ22c1,025$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.8647738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked MOUZ33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33011452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed MOUZ20c921.49$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7212…2c00backed Vitality68c890.51$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.962070%14 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed MOUZ8c888$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0455043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed MOUZ26c858.27$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22512742.5%54 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Vitality68c811.43$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.6637859.5%225 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ecd…091dbacked Vitality67c805.97$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.972669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9dd0backed Vitality70c787.52$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.794173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked MOUZ15c747.69$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.988248.8%40 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x996c…b6ecbacked Vitality68c700$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22418860.1%113 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed MOUZ3c672.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2076546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed Vitality67c631.31$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.335543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0290…e1bcbacked Vitality75c619.46$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.193574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed MOUZ23c604$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.211,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Vitality65c599.99$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20944648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Vitality59c576.27$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2750846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked MOUZ7c551.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Vitality79c526.23$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0758961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked MOUZ15c501.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.445736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf75…92cfbacked Vitality67c500.28$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.096456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked MOUZ22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d30…1a5ebacked Vitality79c472$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.885354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed Vitality66c458.03$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7313950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality56c437.83$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6481751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda44…2e5abacked Vitality78c424.63$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed MOUZ24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Vitality68c385.29$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2953859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea6c…7429backed MOUZ34c376.44$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02af…a5adbacked MOUZ11c372.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.52458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed MOUZ27c364.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Vitality60c334.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.532653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Vitality62c334$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6161837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality68c331.03$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.071,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed MOUZ20c320.93$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.727348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed MOUZ33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013043.8%57 W · 73 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked MOUZ33c302.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9526836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked MOUZ33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed MOUZ33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9911344.2%50 W · 63 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27fc…6475backed MOUZ9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Vitality66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022552%13 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed Vitality67c299.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.318053.8%43 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Vitality67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5126360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Vitality78c254.27$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9453545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb0a…b7a2backed MOUZ9c250$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.72035%7 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed MOUZ18c249.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.753647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked MOUZ33c222.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.594546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Vitality68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5976748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…db55backed MOUZ8c205.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked MOUZ21c199.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9935744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…9ccdbacked Vitality68c191.18$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.182157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed Vitality72c187.2$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.426651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c8…0267backed MOUZ34c182.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ13c179$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.272,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc13…83b8backed Vitality68c177.28$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.735947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked MOUZ20c170.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0159647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f6…1698backed MOUZ33c169.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e5…f3cfbacked MOUZ36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c7…d11ebacked MOUZ22c165.48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9850…9173backed MOUZ27c155.81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Vitality66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.529152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f31…22d5backed Vitality80c150.55$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.133372.7%24 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Vitality67c148.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1613252.3%69 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ28c146.53$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.24,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ31c146$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.094,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6359…e065backed MOUZ23c145.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed MOUZ24c134.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3616527.9%46 W · 119 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Vitality67c134.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4325352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d8…1ce9backed Vitality67c133.7$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.126752.2%35 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…3600backed Vitality66c126.71$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.