CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4288f201d9ee3745a33e2437822ca7e05ada6bdac1ba9407dfd6681ad8360aca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Vitality | 39c | 130,036$50,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,623.56 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ | 61c | 120,361$73,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,597.59 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed MOUZ | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,600 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Vitality | 39c | 28,884$11,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,699.9 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 61c | 9,657$5,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,867.27 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 61c | 6,800$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Vitality | 38c | 4,200$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,916$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.74 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Vitality | 39c | 1,706$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Vitality | 39c | 1,030$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.37 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Vitality | 39c | 1,001$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.12 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Vitality | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 61c | 949.18$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.8 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc87…aa26backed Vitality | 38c | 764.53$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Vitality | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked MOUZ | 67c | 447.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality | 33c | 413.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.23 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked MOUZ | 60c | 323.58$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.15 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed MOUZ | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality | 40c | 249.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Vitality | 44c | 202.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…7babbacked Vitality | 41c | 194.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed MOUZ | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…ec1bbacked Vitality | 39c | 157.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Vitality | 38c | 133.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Vitality | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Vitality | 36c | 117.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed MOUZ | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Vitality | 39c | 116.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Vitality | 39c | 115.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed MOUZ | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked MOUZ | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Vitality | 38c | 79.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Vitality | 39c | 74.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bd53backed Vitality | 41c | 61.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…f488backed Vitality | 38c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Vitality | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Vitality | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…3f2cbacked Vitality | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e6…9a08backed Vitality | 39c | 38.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008c…47a9backed Vitality | 39c | 33.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…e618backed MOUZ | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked Vitality | 38c | 32.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Vitality | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed MOUZ | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed6f…2cf0backed MOUZ | 69c | 28.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…df92backed Vitality | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MOUZ | 63c | 19.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed MOUZ | 64c | 17.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…449dbacked MOUZ | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.