Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Benjamin Bonzi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e1cde420f3d0a5735133fbf79be1e1e7ce9fb825a9c70a4fea6d4cc35c07dd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quinnof Quinn, Bonzi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bonzi | 42c | 2,048$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.2 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bonzi | 51c | 1,681$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.12 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Bonzi | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.99 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Quinn | 49c | 1,384$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.76 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Quinn | 58c | 1,349$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.99 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Quinn | 62c | 627.38$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.28 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Bonzi | 56c | 534.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Quinn | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Bonzi | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Quinn | 23c | 465.21$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.21 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Bonzi | 72c | 418.63$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Bonzi | 54c | 374.59$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bonzi | 49c | 363.72$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.88 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Quinn | 45c | 348.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Quinn | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Quinn | 49c | 285.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.69 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Quinn | 39c | 255$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.07 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Quinn | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Quinn | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Quinn | 59c | 186$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bonzi | 34c | 181.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bonzi | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bonzi | 50c | 142.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Quinn | 60c | 125.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Quinn | 48c | 115.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…f5b5backed Quinn | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Bonzi | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Quinn | 44c | 90.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bonzi | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Bonzi | 51c | 86.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Bonzi | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bonzi | 37c | 63.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Bonzi | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bonzi | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bonzi | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…68fcbacked Bonzi | 64c | 50.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Quinn | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Bonzi | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Quinn | 38c | 48.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Bonzi | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Bonzi | 54c | 39.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Quinn | 62c | 38.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Quinn | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Quinn | 43c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 319 | 42.6%136 W · 183 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Quinn | 53c | 36.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Bonzi | 48c | 36.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…b87ebacked Bonzi | 48c | 31.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Bonzi | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Quinn | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Bonzi | 73c | 28.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Quinn | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Quinn | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Quinn | 61c | 23.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Benjamin Bonzithis page
- Quinn vs. Bonzi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.