TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknech

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Altmaierof Altmaier, Rinderknech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,897
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,897 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Altmaier64c6,702$4,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.6211,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Altmaier67c6,403$4,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.38,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rinderknech38c6,302$2,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.166,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rinderknech38c4,829$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.1865647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Rinderknech63c4,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Altmaier60c3,895$2,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.922,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Rinderknech54c3,840$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.3712050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe65…cbefbacked Rinderknech61c3,800$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Rinderknech45c3,611$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.926549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5b…b993backed Rinderknech1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Altmaier39c3,200$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95222629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Altmaier65c3,000$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.8814549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Altmaier43c2,650$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.0916644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x392f…4d67backed Altmaier39c2,600$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Altmaier37c2,436$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.437147.9%34 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Rinderknech55c2,144$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.9819131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Rinderknech6c2,083$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.988313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf1…2a7dbacked Altmaier41c2,015$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x681f…ca51backed Rinderknech59c2,015$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.15366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b917backed Rinderknech62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f62…64cabacked Rinderknech62c1,927$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Altmaier60c1,810$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.572,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Altmaier62c1,806$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.322,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Rinderknech2c1,763$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.271414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Rinderknech35c1,709$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Rinderknech42c1,571$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66018663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec9…1675backed Altmaier38c1,560$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98bf…68bdbacked Rinderknech62c1,390$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Altmaier38c1,379$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85544125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbee2…8ff2backed Rinderknech62c1,140$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Altmaier59c1,119$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.7465242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…ac2fbacked Altmaier38c1,100$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef1…ca38backed Altmaier39c1,100$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6715100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa98f…7ba8backed Rinderknech63c1,100$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+66.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6f5…cc4abacked Rinderknech63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6659…6076backed Rinderknech62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x278f…0dbebacked Altmaier38c980$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a44…6da3backed Altmaier37c900$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38f7…0729backed Altmaier37c890$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac7d…6bdabacked Altmaier61c882.31$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.53757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ca…1350backed Rinderknech62c880$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Rinderknech59c875.99$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.113857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Rinderknech61c850$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Altmaier39c850$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.52748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Altmaier36c832.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.147639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c0…2ca8backed Altmaier38c782$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.844100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+173.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32a1…9464backed Altmaier38c780$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Altmaier38c769.41$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.031,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Altmaier38c744$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.283941%16 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f4d…ad7bbacked Altmaier38c729$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Altmaier36c700$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44811843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e57…486bbacked Altmaier37c700$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick38cpaid+83.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Altmaier61c659.2$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.261,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Altmaier36c656.38$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.096126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Altmaier80c650$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13013253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a95…4e96backed Altmaier37c640$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Altmaier41c612.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.937041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Altmaier64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21610060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77e…80c6backed Altmaier37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Rinderknech35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rinderknech60c570$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.7162742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132b…aaa4backed Rinderknech63c555$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rinderknech62c516.12$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9981938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Altmaier40c500$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.278143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88f4…3458backed Rinderknech63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick62cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Altmaier38c499.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Altmaier67c495.66$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.043557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Rinderknech60c487$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.275547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8349…d45ebacked Rinderknech63c460$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89eb…1c66backed Altmaier38c416$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+70%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Rinderknech61c408.79$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3622744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Rinderknech38c390.86$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0469249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…01c2backed Rinderknech62c390$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Altmaier40c370.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.564630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df0…8f4ebacked Rinderknech41c337.03$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.062339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Rinderknech62c333$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.4622344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Rinderknech61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Rinderknech64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rinderknech38c300$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.251,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Altmaier37c299.96$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9839534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Rinderknech55c299.31$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.598248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c07…3c13backed Altmaier37c270.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.262532%8 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rinderknech38c265.82$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8751142.9%219 W · 292 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed Rinderknech38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+44.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x55f7…23a3backed Rinderknech39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Rinderknech39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.42725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Rinderknech64c250$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1595862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39a0…77d8backed Rinderknech43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84c0…c6f4backed Altmaier38c216$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+173.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Altmaier38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12422840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ca…2a7ebacked Rinderknech63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41c7…1d03backed Rinderknech62c194$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Rinderknech55c192.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2417442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Altmaier65c184.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.381,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec3…d1c7backed Altmaier62c180$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.41560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Rinderknech39c175.43$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8828139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Altmaier58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4110457.7%60 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked Altmaier65c167.03$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Rinderknech51c166.82$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4717833.1%59 W · 119 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Rinderknech63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.