Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7051f5de3549f706dd1c695402ed4177762335fc9a1e99bd359abc6e4579ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 59c | 7,857$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.67 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 59c | 6,431$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.63 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89e…7a29backed Yes | 43c | 5,799$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 73c | 5,253$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.49 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 60c | 4,959$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 40c | 3,700$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.85 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 38c | 3,202$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.89 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.98 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 60c | 1,653$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 60c | 1,308$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.57 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,243$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,094$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.62 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 1,024$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.08 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 39c | 995.11$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 40c | 960$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 886.15$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.95 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 60c | 638.52$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 41c | 541.46$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 30c | 500.49$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 59c | 450$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 41c | 439.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 437.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 21c | 386.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…7534backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…fc4dbacked Yes | 40c | 349.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…0ddbbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…b9d2backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 41c | 298.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 63c | 273.43$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Yes | 41c | 251.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 39c | 249.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 249.5$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356d…0eccbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6b…51dbbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Yes | 41c | 243.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 62c | 238.18$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 43c | 232.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…bb37backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 31c | 188.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…450dbacked Yes | 42c | 177.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 25c | 158.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 13c | 149.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…5e2abacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18fd…1188backed Yes | 41c | 141.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes | 62c | 135.48$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 23c | 127.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 41c | 123.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f2…0c24backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…e6b7backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff0…343ebacked Yes | 42c | 118.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 58c | 115.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 44c | 114.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 61c | 111.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed Yes | 26c | 110.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 27c | 109.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…7211backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…1818backed Yes | 41c | 84.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 83.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…9bd7backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…2d86backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…80c9backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 48c | 62.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes | 41c | 61.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 73c | 58.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…d105backed Yes | 25c | 56.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ed5bbacked Yes | 42c | 53.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Yes | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.