Tennis · resolved market
Open de Moselle: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Sonego
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd367bca341e873065fea075f6e571574222db79606923f7cbe24880e0338fed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonegoof Cobolli, Sonego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Cobolli | 70c | 38,985$27,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,169.65 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Cobolli | 58c | 38,678$22,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,287.43 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Sonego | 43c | 33,372$14,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,055.49 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adb…a902backed Sonego | 46c | 20,650$9,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Sonego | 30c | 17,336$5,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,135.19 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Sonego | 31c | 16,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,039.99 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sonego | 40c | 11,033$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,595.76 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Cobolli | 77c | 7,500$5,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,774.99 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Sonego | 47c | 6,568$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.73 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cobolli | 57c | 3,657$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.99 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cobolli | 55c | 3,276$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.15 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Cobolli | 69c | 2,988$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Cobolli | 61c | 2,866$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.08 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sonego | 45c | 2,582$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.68 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Sonego | 49c | 2,487$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.6 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sonego | 45c | 2,433$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.13 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Sonego | 24c | 2,399$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.46 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sonego | 42c | 2,309$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.64 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…3458backed Cobolli | 56c | 2,200$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Cobolli | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sonego | 39c | 2,093$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.38 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…2a7ebacked Cobolli | 56c | 2,060$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cobolli | 67c | 2,056$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.34 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sonego | 36c | 2,024$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.53 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Cobolli | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Sonego | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…d45ebacked Sonego | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Cobolli | 55c | 1,800$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.84 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…d58bbacked Cobolli | 56c | 1,739$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cobolli | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…4240backed Cobolli | 56c | 1,710$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Sonego | 67c | 1,706$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…6de2backed Cobolli | 56c | 1,688$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…926dbacked Cobolli | 42c | 1,606$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…7ba8backed Sonego | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…e8fabacked Cobolli | 56c | 1,550$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Cobolli | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…486bbacked Sonego | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cobolli | 58c | 1,475$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.73 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Sonego | 45c | 1,464$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.15 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Cobolli | 52c | 1,439$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.43 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…e591backed Sonego | 44c | 1,365$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Cobolli | 56c | 1,331$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.27 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x132b…aaa4backed Cobolli | 56c | 1,320$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sonego | 36c | 1,284$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.91 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961d…3f6ebacked Cobolli | 56c | 1,253$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…bc91backed Sonego | 43c | 1,190$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Sonego | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7915…f32fbacked Cobolli | 52c | 1,157$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.41 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…101cbacked Cobolli | 56c | 1,135$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…1cc2backed Sonego | 44c | 1,032$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…254bbacked Sonego | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…13b5backed Cobolli | 56c | 1,016$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb499…e0c3backed Cobolli | 56c | 1,002$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sonego | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Cobolli | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce46…de22backed Sonego | 44c | 986$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…5577backed Cobolli | 22c | 966.64$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +137%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Sonego | 43c | 938.67$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.04 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a44…6da3backed Cobolli | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Sonego | 46c | 887.89$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.98 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…5874backed Sonego | 44c | 865$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be4…1299backed Sonego | 44c | 865$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Cobolli | 57c | 856.96$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4c…bb05backed Sonego | 44c | 845$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0f…7f89backed Sonego | 44c | 823$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sonego | 30c | 814.75$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.6 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…0dbebacked Sonego | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sonego | 43c | 795.48$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.26 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…f571backed Sonego | 44c | 785$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…bad6backed Cobolli | 53c | 765.17$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…bb05backed Sonego | 44c | 765$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…8f4ebacked Sonego | 36c | 714.36$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Sonego | 23c | 713.04$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.04 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Sonego | 48c | 686.87$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.87 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Cobolli | 25c | 654.66$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…68bdbacked Cobolli | 55c | 650$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Cobolli | 52c | 636.37$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.91 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Sonego | 43c | 628.38$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…0729backed Sonego | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Sonego | 43c | 600$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sonego | 37c | 568.34$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.83 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Cobolli | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…8ff2backed Cobolli | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Cobolli | 57c | 530.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Cobolli | 51c | 522$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.26 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Cobolli | 26c | 510.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Cobolli | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a1…9464backed Sonego | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Cobolli | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Sonego | 50c | 459.46$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.73 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Sonego | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Sonego | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cobolli | 57c | 433.22$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.87 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…cc4abacked Sonego | 44c | 430$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Cobolli | 7c | 428.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Sonego | 43c | 423.56$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.87 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Cobolli | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec9…1675backed Sonego | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Sonego | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.